Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
Persebaya Surabaya are in significantly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4-1-0 and 2.6 points per match, while Bali United average only 1.6 points per match. The visitors occupy a higher position in the standings (5th place vs 8th place) and have a positive goal difference away from home (+4), in contrast to the hosts' negative goal difference at home (-1). Persebaya also have better offensive efficiency away from home (12% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.56 goals per away match. Bali United fail to score in 44% of their home matches, which further weakens their chances. The advantage in form, better defensive and offensive statistics point towards an away win, although Bali United's solid defense at home (56% clean sheets) and their tendency to draw (56%) mean that a share of the points is also a realistic outcome.
Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bali United played against Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Bali United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Persebaya Surabaya has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Bali United scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.26. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.47 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's games and 58% of Persebaya Surabaya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 37%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bali United has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.29 per game. Bali United takes 13.1 shots per game, while Persebaya Surabaya takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Bali United leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Persebaya Surabaya leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bali United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Persebaya Surabaya, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Persebaya Surabaya are in significantly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4-1-0 and 2.6 points per match, while Bali United average only 1.6 points per match. The visitors occupy a higher position in the standings (5th place vs 8th place) and have a positive goal difference away from home (+4), in contrast to the hosts' negative goal difference at home (-1). Persebaya also have better offensive efficiency away from home (12% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.56 goals per away match. Bali United fail to score in 44% of their home matches, which further weakens their chances. The advantage in form, better defensive and offensive statistics point towards an away win, although Bali United's solid defense at home (56% clean sheets) and their tendency to draw (56%) mean that a share of the points is also a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bali United | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Persebaya Surabaya is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Bali United · 2.6 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Bali United · 0.89 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bali United
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persebaya Surabaya is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Bali United · 1.47 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bali United
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bali United | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.68 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Bali United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Persebaya Surabaya. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Liga 1 match finished Bali United 1:3 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Bali United score 1.42 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.47. The Liga 1 average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's matches and 58% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are Bali United and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games Bali United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The statistical background for Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.