Bali United vs PSM: match statistics
Bali United vs PSM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bali United play PSM in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 10:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bali United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. PSM: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bali United scores 1.68 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. PSM scores 1.15 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bali United 53%, PSM 59%. Over 2.5: Bali United 53%, PSM 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.30. Bali United: 13.2 shots per match, PSM: 11.1.
Match halves
Bali United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09. PSM: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Bali United: 76-90+ (17 goals). PSM: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I project a home win; Bali United has superior offensive metrics and game control — 48 goals this season versus PSM’s 36, and higher expected goals at home (xG 1.64 vs 1.24 for away PSM). The hosts create more chances: on average 13.71 shots and 4.57 shots on target at home versus 10.0 shots and 3.64 on target for PSM, translating to a greater volume of scoring opportunities. Defensively Bali performs better at their stadium — conceding 1.0 goal per home match on average, while PSM concedes 1.5 goals away, and the goal difference (+4 for Bali vs -3 for PSM) favors the hosts. The visitors are, however, more efficient with their shots (conversion rate 13% vs 9% for Bali) and less likely to be shut out (21% of matches without scoring vs 43% for Bali), but PSM have only 7% clean sheets away while Bali keep 43% clean sheets at home. Considering the last 5 matches (Bali 13 goals, 3 wins, 1.8 pts per match; PSM 10 goals, 2 wins, 1.6 pts per match) and the hosts’ advantage in xG and shot metrics, I estimate probabilities: 60% Bali win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bali United | PSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bali United is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Bali United · 0.6 pts / match - PSM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bali United is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Bali United · 1.15 goals / match - PSM
Bali United scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
PSM scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bali United
Over / Under — PSM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bali United is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Bali United · 1.21 pts / match - PSM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bali United
PSM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bali United | Liga | PSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bali United 1 - 0 - 0 PSM. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bali United vs PSM?
The Liga 1 match finished Bali United 2:0 PSM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bali United vs PSM?
Bali United score 1.68 goals per game on average and PSM 1.15. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's matches and 59% of PSM's.
What form are Bali United and PSM in?
Over the last 5 games Bali United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and PSM 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bali United vs PSM?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.