Bangor vs Cliftonville: match statistics

Cliftonville are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 9 points from their last five matches and won 3 of them, while Bangor have managed just 3 points without a single victory. The visitors scored 7 goals during this period, more than twice as many as Bangor’s 3, highlighting their greater attacking potential. Bangor drew three consecutive matches, demonstrating an ability to limit risk, but they have lost their last two games and conceded 8 goals in total across their five appearances. Cliftonville’s defense is not flawless either, having allowed 9 goals in their last five matches, which makes a draw a realistic outcome. However, the visitors’ season record after one match—a 2:1 win—further points to a slight advantage for Cliftonville.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Bangor’s limited attacking efficiency: in their last 5 matches, the team scored only 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game, with an xG of just 0.66. BTTS Bangor occurred in 40% of their matches during this period, exactly matching the league average, while Cliftonville recorded 80%. However, this difference does not offset the hosts’ weaker attacking potential. Cliftonville have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 fixtures, but their average xG against is only 1.07, suggesting that some of the goals conceded may have resulted from above-average finishing by their opponents. The visitors themselves score an average of 1.4 goals, while Bangor concede 1.6, making a Cliftonville goal likely; however, the most realistic scenario remains a result in which at least one team fails to score. Additionally, as many as 60% of league matches end with one side keeping a clean sheet, which further supports the BTTS - No selection.

Bangor’s last five matches produced an average of just 0.6 goals scored, although the team conceded 1.6 goals per game, limiting its offensive contribution. Cliftonville scored 1.4 goals per match during this period and conceded 1.8, so the visitors should have a slightly greater share of the projected 2.40 goals. The quality of chances also points to a moderate total: Bangor’s average xG stands at 0.66, with Cliftonville allowing 1.07 xG, while Cliftonville generates 1.13 xG and Bangor allows 1.20 xG. Although 80% of Cliftonville’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, Bangor’s low scoring output and the forecast of fewer than 2.5 total goals favor Under 3.5.

Cliftonville are in clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 goals, whereas Bangor have failed to win any of their matches, scoring just 0.6 goals and conceding 1.6. The visitors held a lead at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, but they also were level at half-time in 40%, making an even start the most likely scenario. Bangor were trailing at half-time in 40% of their matches and averaged just 0.4 goals before the break, compared with 1.0 for Cliftonville. After half-time, the hosts average only 0.2 goals scored, while their opponents average 0.4, which supports a scenario in which Cliftonville turns a draw into a victory. Bangor’s home data covers only one match, so their 100% home-win rate carries considerably less weight than the five-match form streak of both teams.