Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 23 July 2026

Barau vs El Kanemi Warriors: match statistics

Barau crest
Barau
3 : 0half-time 1:0
El Kanemi Warriors crest
El Kanemi Warriors

Barau vs El Kanemi Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Barau play El Kanemi Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. El Kanemi Warriors: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Barau 29%, El Kanemi Warriors 26%. Over 2.5: Barau 26%, El Kanemi Warriors 42%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Barau has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.04. Barau: 4.7 shots per match, El Kanemi Warriors: 1.9.

Match halves

Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. El Kanemi Warriors: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.32.

Goals by minute

Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). El Kanemi Warriors: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Barau is the clear favorite at home: home goal difference is +12, they average 1.35 goals scored and 0.65 conceded per match, with home xG 2.39 versus opponents' 1.07. El Kanemi have very poor away numbers — goal difference -26, averaging only 0.35 goals scored and 1.88 conceded with xG 1.07 versus 1.76 and an 82% away loss rate. The gap in chance creation is significant: Barau averages 6.75 shots on target and 19 shots per home match, while El Kanemi manage only 2 on target and 7.17 shots away, with conversion rates 4 versus 3. In the last 5 matches Barau have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (3 scored, 3 conceded), and El Kanemi 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (3 scored, 8 conceded); additionally Barau collect 1.2 points on average in the last 5 matches versus the visitors' 0.8. Based on the advantage in xG, shots on target, better home record and El Kanemi’s significantly worse away stats, I forecast a Barau victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
4Shots7
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
1Shots on target3
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.85xG1.1
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
4Corners5
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
73Dangerous attacks62
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
-1Fouls-1
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
-1Cards-1
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.89Goals scored / match0.79
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.79Goals conceded / match1.21
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
23%Average possession16%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.97Shots on target / match0.11
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.74Shots per match1.92
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.97Shots on target0.11
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
18.9%Shot conversion41.1%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
23%Possession16%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
1.3xG for1.04
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
1.31xG against1.69
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Shooting quality

Barau: Counter-attackingEl Kanemi Warriors: Counter-attacking
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)20%6%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.54
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.927.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Barau · 0.8 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
El Kanemi Warriors
WLLDL
Season result split
34% W21% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-16
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barau is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Barau · 0.79 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Barau is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Barau · 1.21 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Barau scoring profile: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

El Kanemi Warriors scoring profile: mixed

El Kanemi Warriors scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

34Goals scored (season)30
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
30Goals conceded (season)46
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
1.68Average goals in match2
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
9Goals scored (last 5)2
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal53%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
29%2 goals21%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
13%3 goals5%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
3%4 goals0%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal58%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
21%2 goals39%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0%3 goals24%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0%4 goals0%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

26%
El Kanemi Warriors - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 38 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time16%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
3%BTTS in both halves5%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
21%Scored in both halves11%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
40%BTTS - last 520%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barau is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Barau · 1.08 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing
El Kanemi Warriors - half-time state
21% leading45% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.08
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.37
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.84Average goals (1st half)0.97
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
61%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
68%No goal before half-time68%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)0.97
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.32
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.92
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
74%Clean sheet after half-time61%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors
66%No goal after half-time74%
BarauEl Kanemi Warriors

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results

16% W50% R34% P
41
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
El Kanemi Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

El Kanemi Warriors
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
9
14
31-45
4
8
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
28%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
26%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

El Kanemi Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

BarauLigaEl Kanemi Warriors
Average goals in match 1.682.02 2.00
Both teams scored 29%38% 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%34% 42%
Clean sheets 42%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 55%61% 66%
Goal after half-time 53%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Barau 0 - 1 - 0 El Kanemi Warriors. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Barau vs El Kanemi Warriors?

The NPFL match finished Barau 3:0 El Kanemi Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Barau score 0.89 goals per game on average and El Kanemi Warriors 0.79. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Barau's matches and 26% of El Kanemi Warriors's.

What form are Barau and El Kanemi Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Barau have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and El Kanemi Warriors 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs El Kanemi Warriors?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.