Nigeria - NPFLData current as of October 21, 2026

Barau vs Kwara United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Barau vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Barau plays Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026.

Recent form

Barau has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Kwara United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Barau scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.11. Kwara United scores 1.11 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Barau's games and 44% of Kwara United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Barau has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 0.68 per game. Barau takes 8.8 shots per game, while Kwara United takes 0.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Barau leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Kwara United leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Barau's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Kwara United, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BarauKwara United
1.33Goals scored / game1.11
BarauKwara United
1.11Goals allowed / game1.11
BarauKwara United
36%Average possession13%
BarauKwara United
4.11Shots on target / game-0.33
BarauKwara United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.78Shots per game0.11
BarauKwara United
4.11Shots on target-0.33
BarauKwara United
15.2%Shot conversion1000%
BarauKwara United
36%Possession13%
BarauKwara United
1.61xG for0.68
BarauKwara United
1.02xG against1.71
BarauKwara United

Shooting quality

Barau: Counter-attackingKwara United: Counter-attacking
BarauKwara United
Accuracy (shots on target)47%-300%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.186.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kwara United is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Barau · 1.4 pts / game - Kwara United

Barau
WDLDL
Season result split
33% W44% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-2
1.44 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Kwara United
WLWLD
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barau is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Barau · 1.11 goals / game - Kwara United

Barau scoring profile: very strong

Barau scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 games), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

12Goals scored (season)10
BarauKwara United
10Goals conceded (season)10
BarauKwara United
2.44Average goals per game2.22
BarauKwara United
6Goals scored (last 5)5
BarauKwara United
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
BarauKwara United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal56%
BarauKwara United
44%2 goals44%
BarauKwara United
22%3 goals11%
BarauKwara United
0%4 goals0%
BarauKwara United

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal89%
BarauKwara United
22%2 goals22%
BarauKwara United
11%3 goals0%
BarauKwara United
11%4 goals0%
BarauKwara United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time11%
BarauKwara United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BarauKwara United
33%Scored in both halves22%
BarauKwara United

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BarauKwara United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
BarauKwara United
60%BTTS - last 560%
BarauKwara United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
BarauKwara United
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BarauKwara United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BarauKwara United

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
BarauKwara United
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
BarauKwara United
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BarauKwara United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barau is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / game - Barau · 0.89 pts / game - Kwara United

Barau - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
Kwara United - half-time state
22% leading22% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per game (1st half)0.89
BarauKwara United
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.33
BarauKwara United
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
BarauKwara United
0.78Average goals (1st half)1.22
BarauKwara United
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
BarauKwara United
56%No goal before half-time67%
BarauKwara United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per game (2nd half)1.67
BarauKwara United
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
BarauKwara United
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.22
BarauKwara United
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1
BarauKwara United
44%Clean sheet after half-time78%
BarauKwara United
44%No goal after half-time56%
BarauKwara United

Barau - second-half results

44% W22% D33% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kwara United - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Barau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kwara United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

BarauLigaKwara United
Average goals per game• 2.442.39▼ 2.22
Both teams scored▲ 56%45%• 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%41%▲ 44%
Clean sheets• 33%34%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%70%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%68%• 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
0.74
Away goals / game
+123%
Home attack advantage
+55%
Home defensive advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Barau's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kwara United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Barau and Kwara United play?

Barau face Kwara United on October 25, 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Barau and Kwara United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barau won 1, Kwara United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Kwara United?

Barau score 1.33 goals per game on average and Kwara United 1.11. The NPFL average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Barau's matches and 44% of Kwara United's.

What form are Barau and Kwara United in?

Over the last 5 games Barau have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kwara United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Kwara United?

The statistical background for Barau vs Kwara United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.