Nigeria - NPFLSani Abacha StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Barau vs Nasarawa United: match statistics

Barau crest
Barau
3 : 0half-time 1:0
Nasarawa United crest
Nasarawa United

Barau vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Barau play Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Sani Abacha Stadium. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nasarawa United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Nasarawa United scores 0.97 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Barau 29%, Nasarawa United 34%. Over 2.5: Barau 26%, Nasarawa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.30. Barau: 4.7 shots per match, Nasarawa United: 8.0.

Match halves

Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Nasarawa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Barau has a clear superiority in quality of chances and game control at home: average home xG is 2.08 versus 0.95 xG for the visitors, and the hosts average 16 shots and 5.6 shots on target per match compared to Nasarawa’s 6.5 shots and 1.8 on target. In practice this converts to 1.44 goals scored per match for Barau and only 0.56 on the road for Nasarawa, with average goals conceded of 0.61 (Barau) vs 1.22 (Nasarawa). Additionally, the hosts win 61% of home matches and keep 44% clean sheets, while the visitors win just 17% of away games and fail to score in 61% of their away fixtures. In the last 5 meetings both teams have scored 6 goals each, but Barau have a superior goal differential 6:4 versus 6:5 and a higher points-per-game average (1.4 vs 1.2). On this basis I back the home side to win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
BarauNasarawa United
-1Shots-1
BarauNasarawa United
-1Shots on target-1
BarauNasarawa United
0xG0
BarauNasarawa United
-1Corners-1
BarauNasarawa United
0Dangerous attacks0
BarauNasarawa United
-1Fouls-1
BarauNasarawa United
-1Cards-1
BarauNasarawa United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BarauNasarawa United
0.89Goals scored / match0.97
BarauNasarawa United
0.79Goals conceded / match0.89
BarauNasarawa United
23%Average possession37%
BarauNasarawa United
0.97Shots on target / match2.97
BarauNasarawa United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.74Shots per match8
BarauNasarawa United
0.97Shots on target2.97
BarauNasarawa United
18.9%Shot conversion12.2%
BarauNasarawa United
23%Possession37%
BarauNasarawa United
1.3xG for1.62
BarauNasarawa United
1.31xG against1.34
BarauNasarawa United

Shooting quality

Barau: Counter-attackingNasarawa United: Counter-attacking
BarauNasarawa United
Accuracy (shots on target)20%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.920.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Barau · 1.2 pts / match - Nasarawa United

Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Nasarawa United
LWLWL
Season result split
42% W21% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-14
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-12
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nasarawa United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Barau · 0.97 goals / match - Nasarawa United

Barau is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Barau · 0.89 goals / match - Nasarawa United

Barau scoring profile: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Nasarawa United scoring profile: mixed

Nasarawa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

34Goals scored (season)37
BarauNasarawa United
30Goals conceded (season)34
BarauNasarawa United
1.68Average goals in match1.87
BarauNasarawa United
9Goals scored (last 5)6
BarauNasarawa United
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
BarauNasarawa United

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal61%
BarauNasarawa United
29%2 goals26%
BarauNasarawa United
13%3 goals8%
BarauNasarawa United
3%4 goals3%
BarauNasarawa United

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal66%
BarauNasarawa United
21%2 goals16%
BarauNasarawa United
0%3 goals8%
BarauNasarawa United
0%4 goals0%
BarauNasarawa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time21%
BarauNasarawa United
3%BTTS in both halves3%
BarauNasarawa United
21%Scored in both halves21%
BarauNasarawa United

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
BarauNasarawa United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
BarauNasarawa United
40%BTTS - last 520%
BarauNasarawa United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
BarauNasarawa United
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
BarauNasarawa United
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
BarauNasarawa United

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time66%
BarauNasarawa United
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
BarauNasarawa United
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
BarauNasarawa United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nasarawa United is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Barau · 1.24 pts / match - Nasarawa United

Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing
Nasarawa United - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.24
BarauNasarawa United
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.5
BarauNasarawa United
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
BarauNasarawa United
0.84Average goals (1st half)0.97
BarauNasarawa United
61%Clean sheet before half-time58%
BarauNasarawa United
68%No goal before half-time58%
BarauNasarawa United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.34
BarauNasarawa United
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
BarauNasarawa United
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
BarauNasarawa United
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.89
BarauNasarawa United
74%Clean sheet after half-time66%
BarauNasarawa United
66%No goal after half-time61%
BarauNasarawa United

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nasarawa United - second-half results

32% W39% R29% P
47
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nasarawa United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nasarawa United
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
1
7
16-30
10
7
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
5
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nasarawa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

BarauLigaNasarawa United
Average goals in match 1.682.02 1.87
Both teams scored 29%38% 34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%34% 32%
Clean sheets 42%37% 34%
Goal before half-time 55%61% 63%
Goal after half-time 53%64% 66%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Barau 0 - 1 - 0 Nasarawa United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Barau vs Nasarawa United?

The NPFL match finished Barau 3:0 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Nasarawa United?

Barau score 0.89 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Barau's matches and 34% of Nasarawa United's.

What form are Barau and Nasarawa United in?

Over the last 5 games Barau have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Nasarawa United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barau vs Nasarawa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.