Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 19 July 2026

Barau vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Barau vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Barau play Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 14 January 2026 at 15:30.

Current form

Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Barau 29%, Niger Tornadoes 26%. Over 2.5: Barau 26%, Niger Tornadoes 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.30. Barau: 4.7 shots per match, Niger Tornadoes: 8.9.

Match halves

Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.89Goals scored / match0.97
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.79Goals conceded / match0.95
BarauNiger Tornadoes
23%Average possession39%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.97Shots on target / match2.74
BarauNiger Tornadoes

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.74Shots per match8.89
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.97Shots on target2.74
BarauNiger Tornadoes
18.9%Shot conversion10.9%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
23%Possession39%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
1.3xG for1.52
BarauNiger Tornadoes
1.31xG against1.52
BarauNiger Tornadoes

Shooting quality

Barau: Counter-attackingNiger Tornadoes: Balanced
BarauNiger Tornadoes
Accuracy (shots on target)20%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.920.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Barau · 1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes

Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Niger Tornadoes
DLDDW
Season result split
34% W24% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-9-16
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-15
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Barau · 0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Barau is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Barau · 0.95 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Barau scoring profile: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

34Goals scored (season)37
BarauNiger Tornadoes
30Goals conceded (season)36
BarauNiger Tornadoes
1.68Average goals in match1.92
BarauNiger Tornadoes
9Goals scored (last 5)3
BarauNiger Tornadoes
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
BarauNiger Tornadoes

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal58%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
29%2 goals26%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
13%3 goals8%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
3%4 goals5%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal55%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
21%2 goals34%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0%3 goals5%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0%4 goals0%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time5%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
3%BTTS in both halves3%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
21%Scored in both halves16%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
40%BTTS - last 520%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time66%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing
Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.21
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.37
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.84Average goals (1st half)0.92
BarauNiger Tornadoes
61%Clean sheet before half-time63%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
68%No goal before half-time68%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.32
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
BarauNiger Tornadoes
0.84Average goals (2nd half)1
BarauNiger Tornadoes
74%Clean sheet after half-time63%
BarauNiger Tornadoes
66%No goal after half-time58%
BarauNiger Tornadoes

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
46
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
28%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

BarauLigaNiger Tornadoes
Average goals in match 1.682.02 1.92
Both teams scored 29%38% 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%34% 32%
Clean sheets 42%37% 45%
Goal before half-time 55%61% 63%
Goal after half-time 53%64% 66%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Barau 0 - 0 - 1 Niger Tornadoes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Barau and Niger Tornadoes play?

Barau face Niger Tornadoes on 14 January 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Niger Tornadoes?

Barau score 0.89 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Barau's matches and 26% of Niger Tornadoes's.

What form are Barau and Niger Tornadoes in?

Over the last 5 games Barau have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Niger Tornadoes?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.