Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: match statistics
Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Barracas Central played against Aldosivi in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on July 29, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Barracas Central has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Aldosivi has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Barracas Central scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 0.94. Aldosivi scores 0.38 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Barracas Central's games and 38% of Aldosivi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 13%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Barracas Central has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.26 per game. Barracas Central takes 10.6 shots per game, while Aldosivi takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Barracas Central leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Aldosivi leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Barracas Central's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Aldosivi, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. Barracas Central have scored 15 goals this season versus Aldosivi’s 7, and at home they average 1.13 goals per match compared to the visitors’ away average of 0.44. Barracas register 4.13 shots on target per game with a 9% conversion rate, while Aldosivi manage 1.78 SoT and a 4% conversion; the home side also post higher expected goals (avg xG 1.43 vs 1.11), which increases their scoring probability. The visitors have yet to record an away win (0% away wins) and lose 78% of their matches on the road, conceding 1.67 goals away versus Barracas’ 1.00 conceded at home, indicating defensive weakness from Aldosivi. A caution is Barracas’ recent form over the last 5 matches — only 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 pts per game), whereas Aldosivi have a better last-5 record (1-3-1, 1.2 pts per game), so a draw cannot be ruled out. Considering the edge in chance creation and quality of play (SoT 4.13 vs 1.78, goals 1.13 vs 0.44, xG 1.43 vs 1.11) and the visitors’ lack of away wins, I assess the probabilities as: Home 62%, Draw 23%, Away 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Aldosivi's form — in the last 5 matches they have BTTS 100%, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals (avg 1.4 and 1.4), and season-long they have no clean sheets (0% clean sheets), which significantly increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal again. Barracas has a season BTTS of 38% and averages 0.38 goals per match, but in the last 5 matches they scored only 3 and conceded 9 (avg 0.6 and 1.8), and their xG against in the last 5 is 2.0, indicating recent defensive issues. Combined xG for both teams is 1.39 + 1.11 = 2.50, while xG against of 1.46 (Barracas) and 1.78 (Aldosivi) show both sides create and concede a lot of chances. Additionally, Barracas averages 3.75 shots on target versus 1.78 for Aldosivi, and low conversion rates of 3% and 4% explain the discrepancy between xG and season goals, but do not eliminate the probability of goals from both teams. Considering Aldosivi's 100% BTTS in the last 5, Aldosivi's lack of clean sheets this season and Barracas conceding 9 in their last 5, I recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculate expected goals: Barracas Central 1.59 (attack xG 1.39 vs Aldosivi defensive xG 1.78 → (1.39+1.78)/2=1.585≈1.59), Aldosivi 1.29 (attack xG 1.11 vs Barracas defensive xG 1.46 → 1.285≈1.29), total 2.88. A Poisson model with λ=2.88 yields probability for Over 1.5 around 78% (since probability of at most 1 goal ≈22%), Over 2.5 around 55% (probability of at most 2 goals ≈45%) and Over 3.5 around 32% (probability of at most 3 goals ≈68%). Additionally, Barracas averages 11.5 shots and 3.75 on target per match versus Aldosivi 10.0/1.78, and shot conversion rates are 3% for the home side and 4% for the visitors, which strengthens the home scoring potential. The history also indicates a moderate propensity for goals: Barracas has 50% of matches over 1.5, Aldosivi 67%, and in the last 5 matches Barracas had 60% of games over 2.5 (Aldosivi 40%), supporting an Over 1.5–2.5 signal. Considering all figures, the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (78%), therefore I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X), because the home side drew in 88% of matches and were level at the break in 63% of fixtures. Both teams have very low average goals scored: Barracas 0.38 goals/match and Aldosivi 0.44 goals/match, with first-half averages of 0.25 (home) vs 0.33 (away), indicating few strikes. Barracas have 63% clean sheets at the break and 50% clean sheets across the season, while Aldosivi concedes on average 1.67 goals per match with xG against of 1.78, so the home defense often holds a lead at the break in the sense of keeping the score level or 0-0. Additionally, Barracas generates slightly more chances (xG 1.39 vs 1.11 and 3.75 shots on target vs 1.78) but low conversion (3.0% vs 4.0%) means that the advantage rarely converts into a clear win, hence X/X is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Barracas Central | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Barracas Central is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Barracas Central · 0.6 pts / game - Aldosivi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barracas Central is 147% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Barracas Central · 0.38 goals / game - Aldosivi
Barracas Central is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - Barracas Central · 1.19 goals / game - Aldosivi
Barracas Central scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 games), while Aldosivi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 games).
Aldosivi scores in 38% of games (6 of 16 games), while Barracas Central keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barracas Central
Over / Under - Aldosivi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barracas Central is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Barracas Central · 0.81 pts / game - Aldosivi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barracas Central - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aldosivi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Barracas Central | Liga | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Barracas Central's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Aldosivi. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
The Primera División match finished Barracas Central 1:0 Aldosivi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barracas Central and Aldosivi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 2, Aldosivi won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
Barracas Central score 0.94 goals per game on average and Aldosivi 0.38. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Barracas Central's matches and 38% of Aldosivi's.
What form are Barracas Central and Aldosivi in?
Over the last 5 games Barracas Central have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aldosivi 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.