Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: match statistics
Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barracas Central played Aldosivi in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 29 July 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Barracas Central: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aldosivi: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barracas Central scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Aldosivi scores 0.38 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barracas Central 56%, Aldosivi 38%. Over 2.5: Barracas Central 38%, Aldosivi 13%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Barracas Central has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.26. Barracas Central: 10.6 shots per match, Aldosivi: 10.9.
Match halves
Barracas Central: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.44. Aldosivi: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.13.
Goals by minute
Barracas Central: 31-45+ (4 goals). Aldosivi: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. Barracas Central have scored 15 goals this season versus Aldosivi’s 7, and at home they average 1.13 goals per match compared to the visitors’ away average of 0.44. Barracas register 4.13 shots on target per game with a 9% conversion rate, while Aldosivi manage 1.78 SoT and a 4% conversion; the home side also post higher expected goals (avg xG 1.43 vs 1.11), which increases their scoring probability. The visitors have yet to record an away win (0% away wins) and lose 78% of their matches on the road, conceding 1.67 goals away versus Barracas’ 1.00 conceded at home, indicating defensive weakness from Aldosivi. A caution is Barracas’ recent form over the last 5 matches — only 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 pts per game), whereas Aldosivi have a better last-5 record (1-3-1, 1.2 pts per game), so a draw cannot be ruled out. Considering the edge in chance creation and quality of play (SoT 4.13 vs 1.78, goals 1.13 vs 0.44, xG 1.43 vs 1.11) and the visitors’ lack of away wins, I assess the probabilities as: Home 62%, Draw 23%, Away 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Aldosivi's form — in the last 5 matches they have BTTS 100%, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals (avg 1.4 and 1.4), and season-long they have no clean sheets (0% clean sheets), which significantly increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal again. Barracas has a season BTTS of 38% and averages 0.38 goals per match, but in the last 5 matches they scored only 3 and conceded 9 (avg 0.6 and 1.8), and their xG against in the last 5 is 2.0, indicating recent defensive issues. Combined xG for both teams is 1.39 + 1.11 = 2.50, while xG against of 1.46 (Barracas) and 1.78 (Aldosivi) show both sides create and concede a lot of chances. Additionally, Barracas averages 3.75 shots on target versus 1.78 for Aldosivi, and low conversion rates of 3% and 4% explain the discrepancy between xG and season goals, but do not eliminate the probability of goals from both teams. Considering Aldosivi's 100% BTTS in the last 5, Aldosivi's lack of clean sheets this season and Barracas conceding 9 in their last 5, I recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculate expected goals: Barracas Central 1.59 (attack xG 1.39 vs Aldosivi defensive xG 1.78 → (1.39+1.78)/2=1.585≈1.59), Aldosivi 1.29 (attack xG 1.11 vs Barracas defensive xG 1.46 → 1.285≈1.29), total 2.88. A Poisson model with λ=2.88 yields probability for Over 1.5 around 78% (since probability of at most 1 goal ≈22%), Over 2.5 around 55% (probability of at most 2 goals ≈45%) and Over 3.5 around 32% (probability of at most 3 goals ≈68%). Additionally, Barracas averages 11.5 shots and 3.75 on target per match versus Aldosivi 10.0/1.78, and shot conversion rates are 3% for the home side and 4% for the visitors, which strengthens the home scoring potential. The history also indicates a moderate propensity for goals: Barracas has 50% of matches over 1.5, Aldosivi 67%, and in the last 5 matches Barracas had 60% of games over 2.5 (Aldosivi 40%), supporting an Over 1.5–2.5 signal. Considering all figures, the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (78%), therefore I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X), because the home side drew in 88% of matches and were level at the break in 63% of fixtures. Both teams have very low average goals scored: Barracas 0.38 goals/match and Aldosivi 0.44 goals/match, with first-half averages of 0.25 (home) vs 0.33 (away), indicating few strikes. Barracas have 63% clean sheets at the break and 50% clean sheets across the season, while Aldosivi concedes on average 1.67 goals per match with xG against of 1.78, so the home defence often holds a lead at the break in the sense of keeping the score level or 0-0. Additionally, Barracas generates slightly more chances (xG 1.39 vs 1.11 and 3.75 shots on target vs 1.78) but low conversion (3.0% vs 4.0%) means that the advantage rarely converts into a clear win, hence X/X is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barracas Central | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barracas Central is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Barracas Central · 0.6 pts / match - Aldosivi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barracas Central is 147% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Barracas Central · 0.38 goals / match - Aldosivi
Barracas Central is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Barracas Central · 1.19 goals / match - Aldosivi
Barracas Central scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Aldosivi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Aldosivi scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Barracas Central keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Barracas Central
Over / Under — Aldosivi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barracas Central is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Barracas Central · 0.81 pts / match - Aldosivi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barracas Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aldosivi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Barracas Central | Liga | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Barracas Central 2 - 1 - 0 Aldosivi. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
The Primera División match finished Barracas Central 1:0 Aldosivi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barracas Central and Aldosivi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 2, Aldosivi won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
Barracas Central score 0.94 goals per game on average and Aldosivi 0.38. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Barracas Central's matches and 38% of Aldosivi's.
What form are Barracas Central and Aldosivi in?
Over the last 5 games Barracas Central have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aldosivi 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.