Basel vs Lugano: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between both teams, favoring a draw. Basel is showing weaker form in their last five matches (0.6 PPG, a streak of four defeats), while Lugano is in significantly better shape (1.8 PPG, unbeaten in their last five games with two clean sheets and three draws). The hosts have the home advantage with a 42% win rate at home and a better xG (2.07 vs 1.23), however their recent form raises serious concerns. Lugano demonstrates defensive solidity (only 6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches) and offensive efficiency (12 goals in the same period). Considering the similar possession statistics (58% vs 59%), comparable away and home win rates (42% for both), and the contrast between Basel's poor current form and Lugano's good run, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, with a slight edge for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
Basel vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Basel played against Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Basel has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lugano has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Basel scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.21. Lugano scores 1.67 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Basel's games and 63% of Lugano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Basel has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.49 per game. Basel takes 17.4 shots per game, while Lugano takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Basel leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Lugano leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Basel's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Lugano, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between both teams, favoring a draw. Basel is showing weaker form in their last five matches (0.6 PPG, a streak of four defeats), while Lugano is in significantly better shape (1.8 PPG, unbeaten in their last five games with two clean sheets and three draws). The hosts have the home advantage with a 42% win rate at home and a better xG (2.07 vs 1.23), however their recent form raises serious concerns. Lugano demonstrates defensive solidity (only 6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches) and offensive efficiency (12 goals in the same period). Considering the similar possession statistics (58% vs 59%), comparable away and home win rates (42% for both), and the contrast between Basel's poor current form and Lugano's good run, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, with a slight edge for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Basel | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lugano is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Basel · 1.8 pts / game - Lugano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Basel · 1.67 goals / game - Lugano
Basel scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
Lugano scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basel
Over / Under - Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Basel · 1.71 pts / game - Lugano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Basel
Lugano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Basel | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.31 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Basel's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Lugano. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Basel vs Lugano?
The Super League match finished Basel 1:1 Lugano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Basel and Lugano?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Basel won 0, Lugano won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Basel vs Lugano?
Basel score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lugano 1.67. The Super League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Basel's matches and 63% of Lugano's.
What form are Basel and Lugano in?
Over the last 5 games Basel have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lugano 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basel vs Lugano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.