Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Basingstoke Town is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a four-game losing streak, although they perform slightly better at home (41% win rate this season). Dorchester Town is in significantly better shape with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, but their away record remains poor (25% wins, 44% losses). A key factor is Dorchester's high away draw percentage (31%) and similar xG metrics for both teams, suggesting an evenly matched game. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' average away results, a sharing of the points is the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Basingstoke a marginally better chance of winning than Dorchester.
Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Basingstoke Town played against Dorchester Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Basingstoke Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Dorchester Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Basingstoke Town scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.79. Dorchester Town scores 1.24 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Basingstoke Town's games and 61% of Dorchester Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 55%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Basingstoke Town has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.19 per game. Basingstoke Town takes 1.6 shots per game, while Dorchester Town takes 0.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Basingstoke Town leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Dorchester Town leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Basingstoke Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Dorchester Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Southern League Premier South games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Basingstoke Town is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a four-game losing streak, although they perform slightly better at home (41% win rate this season). Dorchester Town is in significantly better shape with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, but their away record remains poor (25% wins, 44% losses). A key factor is Dorchester's high away draw percentage (31%) and similar xG metrics for both teams, suggesting an evenly matched game. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' average away results, a sharing of the points is the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Basingstoke a marginally better chance of winning than Dorchester.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Basingstoke Town | Dorchester Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 11% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.94 | 13.78 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dorchester Town is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Basingstoke Town · 1.6 pts / game - Dorchester Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Basingstoke Town is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Basingstoke Town · 1.24 goals / game - Dorchester Town
Basingstoke Town scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Dorchester Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
Dorchester Town scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
Over / Under - Dorchester Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dorchester Town is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / game - Basingstoke Town · 1.15 pts / game - Dorchester Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dorchester Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Basingstoke Town
Dorchester Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Basingstoke Town | Liga | Dorchester Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.09 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Basingstoke Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dorchester Town. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Basingstoke Town 1:1 Dorchester Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
Basingstoke Town score 1.30 goals per game on average and Dorchester Town 1.24. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Basingstoke Town's matches and 61% of Dorchester Town's.
What form are Basingstoke Town and Dorchester Town in?
Over the last 5 games Basingstoke Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Dorchester Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
The statistical background for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


