Bastia vs Boulogne: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, which advocates for a draw. Bastia sits 18th in the table and suffers from poor home form with only a 17% win rate at home, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches. Boulogne, ranked 12th, shows better away form with a 31% win rate and higher goalscoring efficiency (0.92 goals per away game compared to Bastia's 0.58 at home). The key factor, however, is Boulogne's high draw percentage on the road (38%) and the fact that both teams have similar average xG (1.4 for Bastia, 1.49 for Boulogne), suggesting equal offensive potential. Bastia holds an edge in ball possession (55% vs 47%), but their low efficiency (4% shot conversion rate) and a 50% rate of matches without scoring at home limit their chances of winning. Given the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most likely outcome.
Bastia vs Boulogne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bastia played against Boulogne in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Bastia has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Boulogne has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Bastia scores 0.54 goals per game and allows 1.12. Boulogne scores 1.12 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Bastia's games and 54% of Boulogne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 19% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Boulogne has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.22 per game. Bastia takes 11.2 shots per game, while Boulogne takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Bastia leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.23 goals per game after halftime. Boulogne leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bastia's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Boulogne, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, which advocates for a draw. Bastia sits 18th in the table and suffers from poor home form with only a 17% win rate at home, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches. Boulogne, ranked 12th, shows better away form with a 31% win rate and higher goalscoring efficiency (0.92 goals per away game compared to Bastia's 0.58 at home). The key factor, however, is Boulogne's high draw percentage on the road (38%) and the fact that both teams have similar average xG (1.4 for Bastia, 1.49 for Boulogne), suggesting equal offensive potential. Bastia holds an edge in ball possession (55% vs 47%), but their low efficiency (4% shot conversion rate) and a 50% rate of matches without scoring at home limit their chances of winning. Given the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bastia | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Boulogne is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Bastia · 1.4 pts / game - Boulogne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boulogne is 107% better for: goals scored per game.
0.54 goals / game - Bastia · 1.12 goals / game - Boulogne
Bastia is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Bastia · 1.46 goals / game - Boulogne
Bastia scores in 38% of games (10 of 26 meczów), while Boulogne keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Boulogne scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bastia
Over / Under - Boulogne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bastia is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - Bastia · 0.73 pts / game - Boulogne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 12%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Boulogne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bastia
Boulogne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Bastia | Liga | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.65 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bastia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Boulogne. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bastia vs Boulogne?
The Ligue 2 match finished Bastia 0:1 Boulogne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bastia vs Boulogne?
Bastia score 0.54 goals per game on average and Boulogne 1.12. The Ligue 2 average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Bastia's matches and 54% of Boulogne's.
What form are Bastia and Boulogne in?
Over the last 5 games Bastia have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Boulogne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bastia vs Boulogne?
The statistical background for Bastia vs Boulogne — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.