Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Bayelsa United holds a clear advantage as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive +2 goal difference at their own stadium. Warri Wolves display a weak away form with merely a 29% win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in their road matches. The hosts dominate in ball possession (58% on average) and generate better xG figures (1.49 vs 1.26 for the visitors). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 points per game each), but Bayelsa boasts significantly better stats in home fixtures. Warri Wolves lose a staggering 57% of their away games, which further speaks in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tough but victorious match for Bayelsa United, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bayelsa United played against Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Bayelsa United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Warri Wolves has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Bayelsa United scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.03. Warri Wolves scores 0.93 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Bayelsa United's games and 38% of Warri Wolves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 28%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Warri Wolves has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.22 per game. Bayelsa United takes 6.3 shots per game, while Warri Wolves takes 5.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Bayelsa United leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.34 goals per game after halftime. Warri Wolves leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bayelsa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Warri Wolves, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayelsa United holds a clear advantage as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive +2 goal difference at their own stadium. Warri Wolves display a weak away form with merely a 29% win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in their road matches. The hosts dominate in ball possession (58% on average) and generate better xG figures (1.49 vs 1.26 for the visitors). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 points per game each), but Bayelsa boasts significantly better stats in home fixtures. Warri Wolves lose a staggering 57% of their away games, which further speaks in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tough but victorious match for Bayelsa United, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bayelsa United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Bayelsa United · 0.93 goals / game - Warri Wolves
Warri Wolves is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.03 goals / game - Bayelsa United · 0.93 goals / game - Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United scores in 62% of games (18 of 29 meczów), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 meczów).
Warri Wolves scores in 66% of games (19 of 29 meczów), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayelsa United is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Bayelsa United · 1.03 pts / game - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bayelsa United | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.86 | 1.87 | • 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 38% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Bayelsa United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Warri Wolves. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 2:1 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
Bayelsa United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.93. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Bayelsa United's matches and 38% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Bayelsa United and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Warri Wolves 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.