Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayer Leverkusen play RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. RB Leipzig: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayer Leverkusen scores 2.00 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. RB Leipzig scores 1.94 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayer Leverkusen 65%, RB Leipzig 62%. Over 2.5: Bayer Leverkusen 59%, RB Leipzig 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
RB Leipzig has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.71. Bayer Leverkusen: 15.2 shots per match, RB Leipzig: 15.8.
Match halves
Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82. RB Leipzig: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (18 goals). RB Leipzig: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win because Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear offensive edge at home: on average 2.2 goals per game and xG 1.98 with 6.27 shots on target and 62% possession, while RB Leipzig away scores 1.6 goals with xG 1.55 and 4.6 shots on target. The hosts are reliable in attack (0% of home matches without a goal) and have a positive home goal difference (+16), with an average of 1.13 goals conceded at home. However, the visitors are in excellent form — 5 wins in the last 5 games, 14 goals scored and only 3 conceded — and sit 3rd in the table, making them a very dangerous opponent. The xG and shots metrics favor Leverkusen, but Leipzig’s defensive performance over the last 5 matches is superior (3 goals conceded versus 8 conceded by Leverkusen), so a draw is a realistic outcome. Consequently I expect a narrow home victory, with a significant risk of points being shared.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayer Leverkusen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RB Leipzig is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.8 pts / match - RB Leipzig
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
RB Leipzig scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under — RB Leipzig
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayer Leverkusen | Liga | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.24 | • 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 - 0 RB Leipzig. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayer Leverkusen 4:1 RB Leipzig. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen score 2.00 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 1.94. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 62% of RB Leipzig's.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig in?
Over the last 5 games Bayer Leverkusen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and RB Leipzig 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.