Bayern München vs Hoffenheim: match statistics
Bayern Munich are the clear favorites for this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts have an impressive home record with 80% wins, averaging 4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.9, and their xG advantage (2.33 vs 0.94) demonstrates massive offensive dominance. Hoffenheim are in good form with five consecutive wins, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.9 goals scored and just 52% possession. Bayern have the advantage in every aspect of play: more shots (19.6 vs 11.4), better conversion rate (20% vs 17%), and dominance in possession (69% vs 52%). The class difference between the two teams, confirmed by their table position and goal difference, makes the hosts' victory the most likely scenario.
Bayern München vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bayern München played against Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Bayern München has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Hoffenheim has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bayern München scores 3.70 goals per game and allows 0.90. Hoffenheim scores 2.15 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Bayern München's games and 65% of Hoffenheim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 65%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.29 to 1.51 per game. Bayern München takes 18.9 shots per game, while Hoffenheim takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Bayern München leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 2.15 goals per game after halftime. Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bayern München's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (24 goals). For Hoffenheim, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich are the clear favorites for this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts have an impressive home record with 80% wins, averaging 4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.9, and their xG advantage (2.33 vs 0.94) demonstrates massive offensive dominance. Hoffenheim are in good form with five consecutive wins, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.9 goals scored and just 52% possession. Bayern have the advantage in every aspect of play: more shots (19.6 vs 11.4), better conversion rate (20% vs 17%), and dominance in possession (69% vs 52%). The class difference between the two teams, confirmed by their table position and goal difference, makes the hosts' victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bayern München | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hoffenheim is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Bayern München · 3 pts / game - Hoffenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
3.7 goals / game - Bayern München · 2.15 goals / game - Hoffenheim
Bayern München is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Bayern München · 1.15 goals / game - Hoffenheim
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (20 of 20 meczów), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
Hoffenheim scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayern München
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.15 pts / game - Bayern München · 1.75 pts / game - Hoffenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bayern München
Hoffenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayern München | Liga | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.60 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bayern München's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hoffenheim. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayern München vs Hoffenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayern München 5:1 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs Hoffenheim?
Bayern München score 3.70 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 2.15. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bayern München's matches and 65% of Hoffenheim's.
What form are Bayern München and Hoffenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hoffenheim 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs Hoffenheim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.