Bayern München vs Köln: match statistics
Bayern München vs Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bayern München played against Köln in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Bayern München has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Köln has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bayern München scores 3.55 goals per game and allows 1.06. Köln scores 1.45 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Bayern München's games and 79% of Köln's. The Over 2.5 rates are 94% and 64%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.32 to 1.51 per game. Bayern München takes 19.2 shots per game, while Köln takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Bayern München leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 2.12 goals per game after halftime. Köln leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bayern München's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (34 goals). For Köln, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern is the clear favorite based on the statistics: at home they have an 81% win rate this season and have scored 117 goals overall, averaging 3.94 goals per home match. Creation and conversion metrics show a large advantage for the hosts: Bayern averages 2.5 xG per home game versus Köln’s 1.3 xG on the road, and produces 21.69 shots with 9 on target per match, while Köln averages 11.88 shots and 3.88 on target. Defensively Bayern concedes 1.13 goals per home game on average, while Köln concedes 1.75 on away trips; Bayern has 31% clean sheets compared to 13% for Köln, and Köln fails to score in 19% of away matches whereas Bayern has had none at home (0%). In the last 5 matches Bayern scored 13 and conceded 12, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Köln has 8 scored and 9 conceded with 1.0 point per game. Considering the advantage in conversion (18% vs 9%), possession (67% vs 47%) and the home goal difference (+45 vs -10 for Köln away), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS - Yes: Bayern has a seasonal BTTS rate of 88% and Köln 69%, with BTTS in the last 5 matches at 80% (Bayern) and 100% (Köln). Both teams regularly concede — Bayern averages 1.76 goals conceded over the season and 2.4 in the last 5 matches, Köln concedes 1.75 for the season and 1.8 in the last 5 — which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Offensive metrics and xG support this: Bayern xG_for 1.71 and an average of 5.59 shots on target, Köln xG_for 1.30 and 3.88 shots on target, with shot conversion rates of 12% vs 9%, favoring goal scoring. Clean sheets are unlikely — home clean sheet rate only 6% and away 13%, and Bayern failed to score in 6% of matches while Köln failed to score in 19%, so the scenario of one team not scoring has a low margin. Based on these combined figures I rate BTTS 85% versus 15% for No Goal, making "BTTS - Yes" the most probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Bayern has xG_for 1.71, Köln xG_for 1.30, and after accounting for xG against (Köln 1.69, Bayern 1.36) we obtain expected goals ≈1.70 for Bayern and ≈1.33 for Köln, totaling ~3.03 goals. Seasonal averages confirm an offensive profile: Bayern scores at home on average 1.76 goals (117 goals), Köln away 1.13 goals (48 goals), and both teams have a high share of both-teams-to-score matches — 88% for Bayern and 69% for Köln. A Poisson model for total lambda=3.03 estimates over 1.5 ≈80%, over 2.5 ≈58% and over 3.5 ≈36%. Additionally Bayern averages 15.18 shots (5.59 on target) per match versus Köln 11.88 (3.88 on target), and conversion rates are 12% vs 9%, which increases the likelihood of actual finishes. In summary, the strongest signal is the “over” play at line 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5) due to the highest confidence (~80%) and strong seasonal support: 88% over1.5 for Bayern and 81% over1.5 for Köln.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a Bayern win at Full-Time (X/1): hosts were level at the break in 41% of matches and the visitors in 50%, suggesting roughly a 45% probability of a lead at the break being a draw. Bayern have a clear advantage in the second half — they average 1.12 goals after the break versus Köln’s 0.69, and home second halves yield an average of 2.12 goals compared to 1.69 in Köln’s matches. The offensive edge is confirmed by xG of 1.71 for the home side versus 1.30 for Köln and 5.59 shots on target for Bayern against 3.88 for Köln, which increases the likelihood of a decisive goal after halftime. In the last five fixtures the hosts won the second half in 80% of cases, and seasonally Bayern’s matches see goals after the break in 94% of cases; therefore I assign the highest weight to X/1 (34%), followed by X/X (draw/draw) at 22% and a Bayern Half-Time lead to Full-Time win (1/1) at 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bayern München | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bayern München is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Bayern München · 1 pts / game - Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 145% better for: goals scored per game.
3.55 goals / game - Bayern München · 1.45 goals / game - Köln
Bayern München is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Bayern München · 1.76 goals / game - Köln
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (33 of 33 meczów), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 meczów).
Köln scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayern München
Over / Under - Köln
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Bayern München · 1 pts / game - Köln
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 82%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Köln - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (34 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +23 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bayern München
Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayern München | Liga | Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.61 | 3.22 | • 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 94% | 64% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 21% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 97% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bayern München's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Köln. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayern München vs Köln?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayern München 5:1 Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs Köln?
Bayern München score 3.55 goals per game on average and Köln 1.45. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Bayern München's matches and 79% of Köln's.
What form are Bayern München and Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Köln 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs Köln?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bayern München vs Köln: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.