Bayern München vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bayern München played against Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on December 14, 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Bayern München has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Mainz 05 has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Bayern München scores 3.77 goals per game and allows 0.69. Mainz 05 scores 0.85 and allows 1.85. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of Bayern München's games and 46% of Mainz 05's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 38%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.28 to 1.30 per game. Bayern München takes 19.1 shots per game, while Mainz 05 takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Bayern München leads at halftime in 69% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.46 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bayern München's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Mainz 05, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

85Possession (%)15
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
24Shots5
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
11Shots on target2
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2.9xG0.59
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
7Corners0
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
84Dangerous attacks17
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
7Fouls8
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2Cards2
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Bayern MünchenMainz 05
3.77Goals scored / game0.85
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0.69Goals allowed / game1.85
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
66%Average possession48%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
8.23Shots on target / game2.62
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

19.15Shots per game11.08
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
8.23Shots on target2.62
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
19.7%Shot conversion7.6%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
66%Possession48%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2.28xG for1.3
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0.92xG against1.62
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Shooting quality

Bayern München: DominantMainz 05: Balanced
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
Accuracy (shots on target)43%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bayern München is 550% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Bayern München · 0.4 pts / game - Mainz 05

Bayern München
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
92% W8% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-1-0
2.85 pts / game · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Mainz 05
DLDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
8% W23% R69% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-9
0.46 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayern München is 344% better for: goals scored per game.

3.77 goals / game - Bayern München · 0.85 goals / game - Mainz 05

Bayern München is 168% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.69 goals / game - Bayern München · 1.85 goals / game - Mainz 05

Bayern München scoring profile: very strong

Bayern München scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 meczów).

Mainz 05 scoring profile: more difficult

Mainz 05 scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 54% (7 of 13 meczów).

49Goals scored (season)11
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
9Goals conceded (season)24
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
4.46Average goals per game2.69
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
19Goals scored (last 5)2
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal46%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
100%2 goals15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
85%3 goals15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
46%4 goals8%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

How often they concede at least...

46%1 goal100%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
23%2 goals38%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0%3 goals23%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0%4 goals23%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
85%Scored in both halves15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
54%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
60%BTTS - last 540%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
69%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
31%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
77%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
46%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bayern München is 209% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.38 pts / game - Bayern München · 0.77 pts / game - Mainz 05

Bayern München - half-time state
69% leading31% draw0% trailing
Mainz 05 - half-time state
15% leading31% draw54% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.38Points per game (1st half)0.77
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
1.77Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)1
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2.08Average goals (1st half)1.38
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
77%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
8%No goal before half-time69%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

After half-time (2nd half)

2.31Points per game (2nd half)1.08
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
2.38Average goals (2nd half)1.31
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
69%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05
8%No goal after half-time69%
Bayern MünchenMainz 05

Bayern München - second-half results

69% W23% R8% P
31
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 69% of games and wins 92%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mainz 05 - second-half results

31% W15% R54% P
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding53%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bayern München - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game1.62.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game2.42.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+4+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Mainz 05 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bayern München
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
9
2
16-30
10
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
7
0
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bayern München

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
212%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Bayern MünchenLigaMainz 05
Average goals per game 4.463.21 2.69
Both teams scored 46%56% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%62% 38%
Clean sheets 54%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 92%78% 77%
Goal after half-time 92%82% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.43
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bayern MünchenGoalLennart KarlAssist: Serge Gnabry
  2. Mainz 05Yellow cardDanny Vieira da Costa
  3. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Arnaud NordinOff: Sota Kawasaki
  4. Mainz 05GoalJae-Sung LeeAssist: Stefan Bell
  5. Bayern MünchenSubstitutionOn: Nicolas JacksonOff: Min-Jae Kim
  6. Bayern MünchenYellow cardKonrad Laimer
  7. Bayern MünchenYellow cardAlphonso Boyle Davies
  8. Mainz 05Yellow cardKacper Potulski
  9. Bayern MünchenGoalHarry Edward Kane

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robin BraunMatches officiated: 8
4.13Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins50%Draws13%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Bayern München vs Mainz 05?

The Bundesliga match finished Bayern München 2:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs Mainz 05?

Bayern München score 3.77 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 0.85. The Bundesliga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Bayern München's matches and 46% of Mainz 05's.

What form are Bayern München and Mainz 05 in?

Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mainz 05 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs Mainz 05?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.