Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene: match statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Beitar / Riga Mariners played against Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Beitar / Riga Mariners has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Smiltene has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.17. Smiltene scores 1.33 and allows 3.50. Games in this league average 3.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's games and 50% of Smiltene's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 83%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Beitar / Riga Mariners has the higher season xG average, 2.03 to 1.05 per game. Beitar / Riga Mariners takes 13.8 shots per game, while Smiltene takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Beitar / Riga Mariners leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Smiltene leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Beitar / Riga Mariners's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Smiltene, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.38 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beitar / Riga Mariners appear to be the favorites: they sit 4th with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded this season, while Smiltene are 12th with 8 scored and 21 conceded. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 and conceded 7 (2 wins, 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game), whereas the visitors have scored only 5 and conceded 18 (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, averaging 0.4 pts per game). The hosts create higher-quality chances: average xG for 1.48 versus xG against 1.17, 10 shots per game and 4 on target with a 15% conversion rate, while Smiltene posts xG for 1.00 and xG against 2.91, 7.67 shots and 4 on target with 13% efficiency. The visitors’ defense is the main weakness – on the road they concede on average 5.0 goals per game and have 67% of away matches without scoring, whereas the hosts concede 1.5 goals at home on average and remain unbeaten this season (0 losses). Given the superior xG, higher possession (51% vs 39%) and clearly worse form and defense of the opponents, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a bias towards BTTS - Yes driven by the home side's form and the visitors' defensive frailty: Beitar has 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches and a season BTTS rate of 67%, while Smiltene has recorded zero clean sheets (0%) and concedes an average of 5.0 goals per game this season. In the last 5 fixtures Beitar posts an average xG of 2.15 and scored 10 goals (2.0 per game), and the season home xG is 1.11, demonstrating an ability to create chances and a high conversion rate of 22%. Smiltene averages 1.0 goal per game this season with a low conversion rate of 13%, despite averaging 4.0 shots on target per game, which provides them with some but limited scoring opportunities. Additionally, the league shows a high BTTS level at 61% and the home side has over 2.5 in 67% of matches, both factors supporting goals from both teams. Countering this, 67% of Smiltene’s matches are over 2.5 without BTTS (i.e. frequent heavy defeats without scoring), which reduces the weight of the BTTS forecast. Overall, considering the home side’s 100% BTTS short-term form, the visitors’ very weak defense (5.0 conceded on average) and Smiltene’s moderate but real chance-creation, I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% and recommend BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics point to high goal potential: Beitar / Riga Mariners average 1.67 goals per game (xG 1.11), while Smiltene average 1.00 goal with xG 1.00 but concede as many as 5.0 goals per game. In the last 5 matches the hosts had average xG 2.15 and scored 10 goals (2.0 per game), whereas Smiltene conceded 18 goals in five games (3.6 per game) and have 0% clean sheets this season. Season-long metrics show 67% of hosts' matches over 2.5 and 100% for the visitors, and the league averages 3.54 goals per game, further supporting the over side. The xG model (expected goals 2.01 for hosts and 1.55 for guests = 3.56 total) yields roughly a 69% chance for Over 2.5 and ~87% for Over 1.5; taking form and seasonal percentages into account (last 5: 80% Over 2.5 for both) I adjust this to a 78% projection for Over 2.5. Consequently I recommend the Over 2.5 line as the strongest signal due to the hosts' high finishing efficiency (22% shot conversion), the visitors' significant defensive vulnerability (5.0 conceded per game, 18 in the last 5) and Smiltene's absence of clean sheets (0%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Beitar/Riga Mariners led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), averaging 0.8 goals at half-time and conceding 0.4, while Smiltene averaged 0.2 goals at half-time and conceded 2.0. After 90 minutes the hosts averaged 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches and won 40% of games, whereas the visitors scored 1.0 goal and recorded no wins (0%), indicating a full-game advantage for the hosts. Additionally, the hosts have an xG of 1.11 versus 1.00 for the visitors and a higher shot conversion rate of 22% versus 13%, suggesting greater efficiency in turning chances into goals. Considering the hosts' half-time advantage (60%) and superior full-match metrics, the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) — approximately 42%. Alternatives: a draw at half-time followed by a hosts' win (X/1) is assessed at ~11%, while a turnaround from the visitors leading at the break to a visitors' win (2/1) is unlikely (~4%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 0.4 pts / game - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 1.33 goals / game - Smiltene
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 199% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 3.5 goals / game - Smiltene
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Smiltene scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 1176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / game - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 0.17 pts / game - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Smiltene - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -9 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Beitar / Riga Mariners
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.38 | ▲ 4.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Beitar / Riga Mariners's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Smiltene. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Beitar / Riga Mariners 1:0 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Beitar / Riga Mariners and Smiltene?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Beitar / Riga Mariners won 2, Smiltene won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
Beitar / Riga Mariners score 1.83 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.33. The 1. Liga average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's matches and 50% of Smiltene's.
What form are Beitar / Riga Mariners and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Beitar / Riga Mariners have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Smiltene 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
The statistical background for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.