Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS: match statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beitar / Riga Mariners play Valmiera / BSS in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Valmiera / BSS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 2.00 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Valmiera / BSS scores 2.69 and concedes 0.92. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beitar / Riga Mariners 62%, Valmiera / BSS 69%. Over 2.5: Beitar / Riga Mariners 62%, Valmiera / BSS 77%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.81. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 11.9 shots per match, Valmiera / BSS: 14.0.
Match halves
Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.00. Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 2.08.
Goals by minute
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 61-75 (7 goals). Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Valmiera / BSS are clear favorites: they have a season record of 6 wins and 1 draw with 0 losses, while Beitar / Riga Mariners have 4 wins and 3 draws. The offensive gap is significant — the visitors score on average 3.25 goals per away match versus the hosts’ 1.33 goals at home, and in the last 5 matches Valmiera have scored 13 goals compared to Beitar’s 10. The visitors register more shots on target (7.75 vs 4.33) and have a markedly higher finishing rate (27% vs 11%), with similar xG: 1.76 vs 1.68; at the same time Valmiera concede higher expected goals against (xG against 2.15 vs 1.19), which suggests an open game. Hosts draw frequently at home (67% of home matches end in a draw, with 33% wins), but the visitors have a 100% away win rate and average 2.6 points per game in the last 5, versus 2.2 points for the hosts. Considering the advantage in shots on target and finishing for Valmiera and their goal rate (3.25 vs 1.33), I predict a win for the visitors; I estimate roughly a 60% chance for Valmiera, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Beitar win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valmiera / BSS is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 2.6 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 2.69 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Valmiera / BSS scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Beitar / Riga Mariners
Over / Under — Valmiera / BSS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beitar / Riga Mariners
Valmiera / BSS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Liga | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.92 | 3.43 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS?
The 1. Liga match finished Beitar / Riga Mariners 3:1 Valmiera / BSS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS?
Beitar / Riga Mariners score 2.00 goals per game on average and Valmiera / BSS 2.69. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's matches and 69% of Valmiera / BSS's.
What form are Beitar / Riga Mariners and Valmiera / BSS in?
Over the last 5 games Beitar / Riga Mariners have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valmiera / BSS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS?
The statistical background for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.