Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława: match statistics
Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bełchatów play Mławianka Mława in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Bełchatów: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mławianka Mława: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bełchatów scores 1.56 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Mławianka Mława scores 1.62 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bełchatów 68%, Mławianka Mława 71%. Over 2.5: Bełchatów 74%, Mławianka Mława 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Mławianka Mława has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.16. Bełchatów: 7.2 shots per match, Mławianka Mława: 9.9.
Match halves
Bełchatów: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.85. Mławianka Mława: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Bełchatów: 76-90+ (14 goals). Mławianka Mława: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back 1 — home win. Bełchatów has won 3 of the last 5 matches and averages 1.8 points per game in that period, while Mławianka averages 1.0 point per game over the last five. In attack, the hosts score 1.92 goals at home on average and have a shot conversion of 24%, whereas the visitors record 1.36 goals away with a 15% conversion; although Mławianka attempts more shots (10.14 vs 8.73), Bełchatów registers more shots on target (4.55 vs 4.00) and is more efficient. Both defenses are vulnerable to goals — Bełchatów concedes 2.25 goals per home game, Mławianka 2.09 as a visitor — but the hosts keep clean sheets more often (25% vs 9%). Given the better run of form and higher shooting efficiency I assign 60% chance to Bełchatów, 20% to a draw and 20% to Mławianka; similar xG values (1.15 vs 1.23 xG for attack and 1.44 vs 1.41 xG conceded) indicate the home advantage stems mainly from efficiency.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bełchatów | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mławianka Mława is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bełchatów · 1.2 pts / match - Mławianka Mława
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mławianka Mława is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.18 goals / match - Bełchatów · 1.74 goals / match - Mławianka Mława
Bełchatów scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
Mławianka Mława scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bełchatów
Over / Under — Mławianka Mława
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bełchatów is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Bełchatów · 0.94 pts / match - Mławianka Mława
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mławianka Mława - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bełchatów
Mławianka Mława
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Bełchatów | Liga | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.74 | 3.33 | • 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 20% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bełchatów 1 - 0 - 0 Mławianka Mława. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Bełchatów 0:1 Mławianka Mława. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława?
Bełchatów score 1.56 goals per game on average and Mławianka Mława 1.62. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bełchatów's matches and 71% of Mławianka Mława's.
What form are Bełchatów and Mławianka Mława in?
Over the last 5 games Bełchatów have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mławianka Mława 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława?
The statistical background for Bełchatów vs Mławianka Mława — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.