Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona: match statistics
Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bellinzona played against Rapperswil-Jona in Challenge League (Switzerland). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Bellinzona has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Rapperswil-Jona has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Bellinzona scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.94. Rapperswil-Jona scores 1.34 and allows 1.66. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Bellinzona's games and 59% of Rapperswil-Jona's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 63%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rapperswil-Jona has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.29 per game. Bellinzona takes 11.5 shots per game, while Rapperswil-Jona takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Bellinzona leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Rapperswil-Jona leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bellinzona's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Rapperswil-Jona, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Challenge League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win ('2') because Rapperswil-Jona have 12 wins this season and have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches versus Bellinzona's 5 wins and 9 goals. The visitors average 1.5 goals on the road while the hosts average 1.25 goals at home; the visitors record 4.56 shots on target per away match versus 3.75 for the home side. Rapperswil-Jona average 1.8 points in their last 5 matches compared to Bellinzona's 0.8 and have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures while Bellinzona have won only 1. Additionally, Bellinzona fail to score in 56% of home games, whereas Rapperswil-Jona fail to score in only 13% of away matches; both teams concede on average 1.63 goals per game, indicating that decisive factors will be superior chance conversion. Considering the visitors' better shot conversion (13% vs 11%) and higher offensive xG for Rapperswil-Jona (1.39 vs 1.31), I assess probabilities as 60% for the away team, 25% for a draw and 15% for the home team.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong BTTS indicators: Rapperswil-Jona 69% this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, Bellinzona 50% this season and 60% in the last 5, versus the league average of 54%. Both sides also concede frequently: Bellinzona have conceded 62 goals this season (1.69 per game), Rapperswil 53 (1.63), and xG against is 1.84 for Bellinzona and 1.94 for Rapperswil, suggesting genuine chances for both. In the last 5 matches Bellinzona scored 9 and conceded 10 (1.8 and 2.0 on average), while Rapperswil scored 11 and conceded 9 (2.2 and 1.8), so both teams regularly participate in goal-filled games. Additionally the visitors are more efficient offensively: season average xG are equal (1.39 vs 1.39), but shot conversion 13% vs 10%, 4.56 vs 3.94 shots on target and only 13% of matches without a goal for Rapperswil versus 25% for Bellinzona increase the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering 63% of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams and higher BTTS rates for Rapperswil, I assess BTTS as more likely and assign 75% to 'Yes' vs 25% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Bellinzona attack xG 1.39 and Rapperswil-Jona attack xG 1.39; xG conceded vs Bellinzona 1.84 and vs Rapperswil-Jona 1.94) yields expected goals of 1.67 for the home side and 1.62 for the visitors, totaling 3.29 goals. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=3.29, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is approximately 84%, which aligns with seasonal Over 1.5 rates: 69% for Bellinzona and 88% for Rapperswil-Jona. Additionally, in the last 5 matches both teams have 80% of games over 2.5 goals, and the average goals scored in the last 5 are 1.8 (Bellinzona) and 2.2 (Rapperswil-Jona), totaling about 4.0 goals per match based on recent form. Shot and finishing metrics confirm this: on average 11.31 and 11.56 shots with 3.94 and 4.56 on target, conversion rates of 10% and 13%, and clean sheets occurring in only 31% and 19% of matches. As a result I recommend backing Over as the play; the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (probability ~84%), while Over 2.5 also makes sense (~64%), and Over 3.5 is less certain (~42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics strongly favor a draw: the home team led at the break in 4 matches (25%) and were level at half-time in 9 (56%), while the away team led in 4 matches (25%) and were level in 8 (50%), with the average goals at half-time equal for both sides (AVGHT_home 1.44 vs AVGHT_away 1.44). In the second half the away side holds a clearer advantage — they score on average 0.81 goals after the break versus 0.44 for the home team (scored_2hg_avg_away 0.81 vs scored_2hg_avg_home 0.44) and in the last 5 matches they have won 60% of games compared to 20% for the home team (last5_winPercentage_overall_away 60% vs last5_winPercentage_overall_home 20%). Both teams’ xG is similar (xG 1.39 vs 1.39), but the away team is more efficient in finishing — shot conversion 13% vs 10% and on average 4.56 vs 3.94 shots on target, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround in the second half. For this reason the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2), therefore this scenario carries the highest weight in the distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bellinzona | Rapperswil-Jona | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rapperswil-Jona is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Bellinzona · 1.8 pts / game - Rapperswil-Jona
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rapperswil-Jona is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Bellinzona · 1.34 goals / game - Rapperswil-Jona
Rapperswil-Jona is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.94 goals / game - Bellinzona · 1.66 goals / game - Rapperswil-Jona
Bellinzona scores in 50% of games (16 of 32 meczów), while Rapperswil-Jona keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).
Rapperswil-Jona scores in 81% of games (26 of 32 meczów), while Bellinzona keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bellinzona
Over / Under - Rapperswil-Jona
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rapperswil-Jona is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Bellinzona · 1.28 pts / game - Rapperswil-Jona
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bellinzona - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rapperswil-Jona - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bellinzona
Rapperswil-Jona
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Bellinzona | Liga | Rapperswil-Jona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.00 | 2.94 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Bellinzona's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Rapperswil-Jona. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?
The Challenge League match finished Bellinzona 2:4 Rapperswil-Jona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bellinzona and Rapperswil-Jona?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 0, Rapperswil-Jona won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?
Bellinzona score 1.06 goals per game on average and Rapperswil-Jona 1.34. The Challenge League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bellinzona's matches and 59% of Rapperswil-Jona's.
What form are Bellinzona and Rapperswil-Jona in?
Over the last 5 games Bellinzona have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rapperswil-Jona 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?
The statistical background for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.