Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: match statistics
Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ben Guerdane played against ES Tunis in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The game was played on May 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ben Guerdane has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. ES Tunis has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ben Guerdane scores 0.62 goals per game and allows 0.72. ES Tunis scores 1.52 and allows 0.38. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 21% of Ben Guerdane's games and 24% of ES Tunis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 34%, compared with league averages of 26% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
ES Tunis has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.05 per game. Ben Guerdane takes 5.7 shots per game, while ES Tunis takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ben Guerdane leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.34 goals per game after halftime. ES Tunis leads at halftime in 55% and scores 0.66 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ben Guerdane's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For ES Tunis, it is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 26% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — ES Tunis — who have 17 wins and 44 goals this season, while Ben Guerdane have 8 wins and 18 goals. The efficiency gap is clear: ES Tunis has a conversion rate of about 15% and averages 1.36 goals away, whereas the hosts convert only ~7% at home and score 0.64 goals per match. Defensively Ben Guerdane are strong at home — just 0.36 goals conceded per game and 64% clean sheets; in their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 4 and conceded only 1, while ES Tunis in the same period scored 4 and conceded 4. xG shows similar chance creation (Ben Guerdane home xG 1.31 vs ES Tunis away xG 1.26), however the hosts significantly underperform their xG (0.64 actual goals vs xG 1.31). Considering the markedly better season record (17 wins and 44 goals vs 8 wins and 18 goals) and the superiority in finishing, balanced by the hosts’ solid defense, I tip a win for the visitors; I estimate probabilities at roughly 55% for ES Tunis, 25% for a draw and 20% for Ben Guerdane.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ben Guerdane has a very strong defense — conceding only 0.33 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of matches; in the last 5 games they have recorded no BTTS (0%), which significantly reduces the likelihood of Goal/Goal. ES Tunis has a seasonal BTTS rate of 29% and concedes 0.43 goals per game on average, with BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, but this does not offset the home side’s statistics. In the league BTTS rate is 26%, alongside a very high clean sheet expected rate of 90%, which further favors a No Goal/clean sheet scenario. Offensively Ben Guerdane generates xG 2.36 at home and averages 1.67 goals with 8.13 shots on target versus 3.77 for ES Tunis, yet the home side’s seasonal BTTS is only 20%, so the match profile is dominated by a home clean sheet. On this basis the much stronger signal is No Goal: 75% vs 25% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ben Guerdane generates xG 2.36 per match, while the average xG against ES Tunis is 0.80, yielding a simple home-goal estimate ≈(2.36+0.80)/2 = 1.58. ES Tunis has xG_for 1.26 and the home xG_against 0.82 → ≈1.04, totaling ≈2.62 xG per match. However, the league is very low-scoring (average 1.73 goals per match) and both teams have high clean sheet rates: Ben Guerdane 73% and ES Tunis 64%, with both teams recording only 20% and 29% of matches where both score, which reduces the realistic probability of many goals. Considering seasonal Over 2.5 rates = 27% (Ben Guerdane) and 43% (ES Tunis) and the home side’s last 5 matches (4 scored, 1 conceded), I adjusted expected goals to 1.35 for the home team and 0.95 for the away = 2.30 total goals. On this basis the strongest signal is Under 2.5 (recommendation), while Over 1.5 remains relatively likely given seasonal 60%/57% Over 1.5, and Over 3.5 is unlikely (20%/7%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ben Guerdane have a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 11 matches (73%) and on average score 0.93 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.20. The hosts create significantly more chances — xG 2.36 versus 1.26 for ES Tunis and 8.13 shots on target versus 3.77 — which increases the likelihood of a quick lead. After the break Ben Guerdane concede on average just 0.13 goals and record 87% clean second halves, while the visitors have 79%, so the hosts often maintain the result. Season-long goal averages of 1.67 (Ben Guerdane) versus 1.36 (ES Tunis) and a low rate of both teams scoring (BTTS 20% vs 29%) suggest the most probable scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and winning the match; therefore HT/FT 1/1 receives the strongest signal (~58%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ben Guerdane | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ben Guerdane is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ben Guerdane · 1.2 pts / game - ES Tunis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ES Tunis is 145% better for: goals scored per game.
0.62 goals / game - Ben Guerdane · 1.52 goals / game - ES Tunis
ES Tunis is 89% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.72 goals / game - Ben Guerdane · 0.38 goals / game - ES Tunis
Ben Guerdane scores in 48% of games (14 of 29 meczów), while ES Tunis keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 meczów).
ES Tunis scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Ben Guerdane keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ben Guerdane
Over / Under - ES Tunis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ES Tunis is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Ben Guerdane · 2.07 pts / game - ES Tunis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ben Guerdane - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
ES Tunis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Ben Guerdane | Liga | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.34 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ben Guerdane's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against ES Tunis. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
The Ligue 1 match finished Ben Guerdane 0:1 ES Tunis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
Ben Guerdane score 0.62 goals per game on average and ES Tunis 1.52. The Ligue 1 average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Ben Guerdane's matches and 24% of ES Tunis's.
What form are Ben Guerdane and ES Tunis in?
Over the last 5 games Ben Guerdane have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ES Tunis 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.