Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 23 July 2026

Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors: match statistics

Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bendel Insurance play Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bendel Insurance: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Abia Warriors: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bendel Insurance scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bendel Insurance 45%, Abia Warriors 29%. Over 2.5: Bendel Insurance 34%, Abia Warriors 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Bendel Insurance has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.41. Bendel Insurance: 6.9 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 5.6.

Match halves

Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Bendel Insurance: 0-15 (9 goals). Abia Warriors: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Bendel Insurance have a clear home advantage: they average 1.63 goals scored and concede only 0.75 goals per home match, with an attacking xG of 1.77 and on average 5 shots on target and 12.85 shots overall. Abia Warriors are limited offensively away from home — averaging 0.56 goals per match, xG 0.86, 2.5 shots on target and 6.67 attempts; in 50% of away fixtures they fail to score and they concede 1.19 goals per game. The gap in chance creation is significant: xG 1.77 vs 0.86 and average shots 12.85 vs 6.67 indicate the hosts generate nearly twice as many valuable opportunities, while clean sheets 44% vs 25% and lower FTS 19% vs 50% speak to Bendel’s efficiency. In the last 5 matches Bendel are 1-2-2 (5 scored and 10 conceded), whereas Abia are 3-0-2 (6 scored and 5 conceded), but Abia’s high away loss rate (63%) and negative away goal difference (-10) weaken their case. On this basis I favor the home win; I assign 65% probability to a Bendel victory, 20% to a draw and 15% to an Abia win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
-1Shots-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
-1Shots on target-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0xG0
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
-1Corners-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0Dangerous attacks0
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
-1Fouls-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
-1Cards-1
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1.16Goals scored / match0.82
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1Goals conceded / match0.89
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
33%Average possession25%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
2.39Shots on target / match1.66
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.89Shots per match5.58
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
2.39Shots on target1.66
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
16.8%Shot conversion14.6%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
33%Possession25%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1.5xG for1.41
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1.32xG against1.32
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Shooting quality

Bendel Insurance: Counter-attackingAbia Warriors: Counter-attacking
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.220.25
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bendel Insurance is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Bendel Insurance
WWWLD
Season result split
37% W37% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-14-10
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-8-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.70Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Abia Warriors
LWLLL
Season result split
42% W18% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-15
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-13
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bendel Insurance is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.82 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Abia Warriors is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.89 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Bendel Insurance scoring profile: strong

Bendel Insurance scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Abia Warriors scoring profile: strong

Abia Warriors scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).

44Goals scored (season)31
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
38Goals conceded (season)34
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
2.16Average goals in match1.71
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal63%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
32%2 goals18%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
13%3 goals0%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
3%4 goals0%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal58%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
26%2 goals29%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
8%3 goals3%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
3%4 goals0%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Bendel Insurance - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 38 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time11%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
21%Scored in both halves11%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
60%BTTS - last 540%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bendel Insurance - half-time state
24% leading63% draw13% trailing
Abia Warriors - half-time state
26% leading58% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.37
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0.66Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.34
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1.08Average goals (1st half)0.76
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
63%Clean sheet before half-time74%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
53%No goal before half-time66%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
1.08Average goals (2nd half)0.95
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
58%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors
58%No goal after half-time61%
Bendel InsuranceAbia Warriors

Bendel Insurance - second-half results

29% W39% R32% P
51
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Abia Warriors - second-half results

26% W42% R32% P
52
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bendel Insurance - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bendel Insurance
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
9
3
16-30
7
10
31-45
8
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bendel Insurance

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Bendel InsuranceLigaAbia Warriors
Average goals in match 2.162.02 1.71
Both teams scored 45%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 21%
Clean sheets 37%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 58%61% 50%
Goal after half-time 68%64% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bendel Insurance 0 - 1 - 0 Abia Warriors. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors?

The NPFL match finished Bendel Insurance 1:0 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors?

Bendel Insurance score 1.16 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.82. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Bendel Insurance's matches and 29% of Abia Warriors's.

What form are Bendel Insurance and Abia Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Bendel Insurance have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Abia Warriors 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors?

The statistical background for Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.