Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Santaní: match statistics

Deportivo Santaní come into the match in excellent form, having won all of their last 5 fixtures with a 10:2 goal difference, while Benjamin Aceval have scored just 4 goals during this period and suffered 3 defeats. The visitors sit higher in the table, in 3rd place, with 11 wins and 16 goals conceded this season, whereas the hosts are 4th and have conceded 19 goals. Away from home, Santaní average 1.78 goals per match compared with Benjamin Aceval’s 1.33 goals at home, and they also register more shots on target: 4.88 versus 3.88. The hosts hold the possession advantage at 56% and concede only 0.67 goals per home match, but their recent run significantly lowers their prospects. Similar xG figures—1.55 for the visitors and 1.53 for the hosts—suggest a balanced contest, but Santaní’s current finishing efficiency and defensive solidity point to an away win.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Benjamin Aceval records both teams scoring in only 20% of matches, while Deportivo Santaní does so in 33%—well below the league average of 55%. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 60% of their games and concede just 0.80 goals on average, while the visitors are also defensively solid, with an average of 0.89 goals conceded. Santaní’s current form further supports a No Goal scenario for the opposition: in their last 5 matches, the team conceded only 2 goals, or 0.4 per game, while securing five consecutive victories. Benjamin Aceval scored just 4 goals during this period, averaging 0.8 goals per match, so despite their elevated recent BTTS rate of 60%, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

Benjamin Aceval conceded just 0.80 goals per match this season, while Deportivo Santaní averaged 0.89, pointing to solid defensive foundations on both sides. As many as 90% of Benjamin Aceval’s matches finished Under 3.5 goals, compared with 67% for Santaní; additionally, the hosts exceeded the 3.5-goal line in only 10% of their matches. Recent form favors the visitors, who have scored 10 goals and conceded just 2 in their last five appearances, whereas Benjamin Aceval scored only 4 goals over the same period. Santaní have a strong recent xG of 2.16, but the combination of their tight defense and the hosts’ low scoring output limits the risk of four or more goals. The projected total of 2.30 goals gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals market.

Deportivo Santaní are in excellent form, having won all of their last five matches while averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game. By contrast, Benjamin Aceval have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during the same period. The visitors’ superiority is already evident before half-time, as they have held a lead at the break in 75% of their recent matches, averaging 1.0 first-half goal and conceding none before the interval. In the same sample, the hosts were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches and managed just 0.2 first-half goals, while their season-long attacking output stands at only 1.3 goals per game compared with 1.78 for their opponents. Santaní also have the more stable defense over the full season, conceding an average of 0.89 goals per match compared with Benjamin Aceval’s 0.8; however, current form clearly shifts the balance in favor of the visitors. The strongest scenario is therefore Deportivo Santaní leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle, making 2/2 the most compelling HT/FT outcome.