BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BFC Daugavpils play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 16 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
BFC Daugavpils scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.04 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BFC Daugavpils 57%, FS Jelgava 43%. Over 2.5: BFC Daugavpils 43%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.30. BFC Daugavpils: 12.7 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (13 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 40%.
Match description
BFC Daugavpils holds a clear advantage in key home metrics: home average xG is 1.80 versus away xG of 1.56, and home goals per game are 1.33 compared to FS Jelgava’s 1.00 on the road. The hosts average 6.67 shots on target and 14.33 shots per game at home with a conversion rate of 9%, while Jelgava record 4.0 shots on target and 13 shots with an 8% conversion—reflected in goals: BFC have scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches versus just 2 by the visitors. Defensively BFC also perform better in season home stats—conceding 0.67 goals per game and keeping 33% clean sheets, whereas Jelgava concede 1.00 on the road and have 0% clean sheets. Form corroborates the hosts’ edge: BFC’s last 5 results show 'llwww', 3 wins and an average of 1.8 points per game, while Jelgava average only 0.4 points and have not won in that span. Given the greater volume of chances, higher xG and lower goals conceded at home (the visitors have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches), I predict a home win—probabilities: 67% home, 20% draw, 13% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BFC Daugavpils | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.04 goals / match - FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.43 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| BFC Daugavpils | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 - 1 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished BFC Daugavpils 1:0 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between BFC Daugavpils and FS Jelgava?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches BFC Daugavpils won 2, FS Jelgava won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.26 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.04. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of BFC Daugavpils's matches and 43% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are BFC Daugavpils and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games BFC Daugavpils have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.