Birmingham City vs Stoke City: match statistics
Birmingham City presents impressive home form with a 54% win rate and an average of 2.08 goals per match at home, which, combined with just 8% losses at their own stadium, gives them a clear advantage. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters and scoring 9 goals, while their advantage in possession (54%) and high shot effectiveness (5.38 on target per match) indicate offensive strength. Stoke City, despite a decent table position, has problems on away trips – 43% losses and as many as 43% of matches without a scored goal, averaging just 1 goal per away match. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.9 for Birmingham in home matches against 1.22 for Stoke away. Considering the goal difference (+14 for Birmingham at home vs +1 for Stoke away) and the current form of both teams, Birmingham City has real chances of securing three points, although Stoke can be an uncomfortable rival, justifying leaving room for a draw.
Birmingham City vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Birmingham City played against Stoke City in Championship (England). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Birmingham City has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Stoke City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Birmingham City scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.32. Stoke City scores 1.18 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's games and 36% of Stoke City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.31 per game. Birmingham City takes 14.2 shots per game, while Stoke City takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Birmingham City leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Stoke City leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Birmingham City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Stoke City, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City presents impressive home form with a 54% win rate and an average of 2.08 goals per match at home, which, combined with just 8% losses at their own stadium, gives them a clear advantage. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters and scoring 9 goals, while their advantage in possession (54%) and high shot effectiveness (5.38 on target per match) indicate offensive strength. Stoke City, despite a decent table position, has problems on away trips – 43% losses and as many as 43% of matches without a scored goal, averaging just 1 goal per away match. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.9 for Birmingham in home matches against 1.22 for Stoke away. Considering the goal difference (+14 for Birmingham at home vs +1 for Stoke away) and the current form of both teams, Birmingham City has real chances of securing three points, although Stoke can be an uncomfortable rival, justifying leaving room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham City is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.4 pts / game - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Birmingham City · 1.18 goals / game - Stoke City
Stoke City is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Birmingham City · 0.89 goals / game - Stoke City
Birmingham City scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 meczów).
Stoke City scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.5 pts / game - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Birmingham City
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Birmingham City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Stoke City. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:1 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
Birmingham City score 1.36 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.18. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's matches and 36% of Stoke City's.
What form are Birmingham City and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stoke City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham City vs Stoke City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.