Italy - Serie AData current as of September 12, 2026

Bologna vs AC Milan: match statistics

Bologna crest
Bologna
0 : 3half-time 0:2
AC Milan crest
AC Milan
130%(3.60)
X30%(3.27)
240%(2.08)

AC Milan demonstrates a clear advantage in key statistics, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 13 victories and only 1 defeat this season. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season (55% wins, 45% draws), constituting a huge psychological advantage. Bologna shows instability in home matches with 40% losses and only 40% wins, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Milan has better chance conversion efficiency (16% vs 8%) and a significantly lower FTS% on the road (9% vs 30% for Bologna at home). The form of the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), and the away goal difference (+10) exceeds Bologna's home balance (+2). Given all data, AC Milan has a real chance for victory, though the visitors' high percentage of away draws (45%) suggests a split of points is also likely.

Bologna vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bologna played against AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on February 3, 2026. Final score: 0:3.

Recent form

Bologna has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. AC Milan has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bologna scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.23. AC Milan scores 1.59 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Bologna's games and 55% of AC Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 45%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.42 per game. Bologna takes 13.2 shots per game, while AC Milan takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Bologna leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. AC Milan leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bologna's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For AC Milan, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

AC Milan demonstrates a clear advantage in key statistics, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 13 victories and only 1 defeat this season. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season (55% wins, 45% draws), constituting a huge psychological advantage. Bologna shows instability in home matches with 40% losses and only 40% wins, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Milan has better chance conversion efficiency (16% vs 8%) and a significantly lower FTS% on the road (9% vs 30% for Bologna at home). The form of the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), and the away goal difference (+10) exceeds Bologna's home balance (+2). Given all data, AC Milan has a real chance for victory, though the visitors' high percentage of away draws (45%) suggests a split of points is also likely.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
BolognaAC Milan
13Shots10
BolognaAC Milan
2Shots on target7
BolognaAC Milan
1.35xG1.29
BolognaAC Milan
5Corners0
BolognaAC Milan
52Dangerous attacks23
BolognaAC Milan
14Fouls10
BolognaAC Milan
3Cards0
BolognaAC Milan

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.45Goals scored / game1.59
BolognaAC Milan
1.23Goals allowed / game0.77
BolognaAC Milan
55%Average possession51%
BolognaAC Milan
4.05Shots on target / game4.68
BolognaAC Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.18Shots per game13.73
BolognaAC Milan
4.05Shots on target4.68
BolognaAC Milan
11%Shot conversion11.6%
BolognaAC Milan
55%Possession51%
BolognaAC Milan
1.42xG for1.53
BolognaAC Milan
1.21xG against1.28
BolognaAC Milan

Shooting quality

Bologna: BalancedAC Milan: Balanced
BolognaAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AC Milan is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Bologna · 1.8 pts / game - AC Milan

Bologna
LDWLL
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-8
1.36 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
AC Milan
DDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
59% W36% D5% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-1
2.14 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

1.45 goals / game - Bologna · 1.59 goals / game - AC Milan

AC Milan is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.23 goals / game - Bologna · 0.77 goals / game - AC Milan

Bologna scoring profile: strong

Bologna scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).

AC Milan scoring profile: very strong

AC Milan scores in 95% of games (21 of 22 meczów), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)35
BolognaAC Milan
27Goals conceded (season)17
BolognaAC Milan
2.68Average goals per game2.36
BolognaAC Milan
7Goals scored (last 5)7
BolognaAC Milan
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
BolognaAC Milan

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal95%
BolognaAC Milan
45%2 goals45%
BolognaAC Milan
18%3 goals18%
BolognaAC Milan
5%4 goals0%
BolognaAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal55%
BolognaAC Milan
36%2 goals23%
BolognaAC Milan
14%3 goals0%
BolognaAC Milan
0%4 goals0%
BolognaAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time27%
BolognaAC Milan
5%BTTS in both halves5%
BolognaAC Milan
27%Scored in both halves27%
BolognaAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
BolognaAC Milan
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
BolognaAC Milan
80%BTTS - last 580%
BolognaAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
BolognaAC Milan
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
BolognaAC Milan
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
BolognaAC Milan

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
BolognaAC Milan
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
BolognaAC Milan
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
BolognaAC Milan

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Bologna · 1.45 pts / game - AC Milan

Bologna - half-time state
23% leading59% draw18% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
27% leading64% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.45
BolognaAC Milan
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.59
BolognaAC Milan
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
BolognaAC Milan
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.95
BolognaAC Milan
64%Clean sheet before half-time68%
BolognaAC Milan
59%No goal before half-time50%
BolognaAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per game (2nd half)1.91
BolognaAC Milan
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1
BolognaAC Milan
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
BolognaAC Milan
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.41
BolognaAC Milan
41%Clean sheet after half-time64%
BolognaAC Milan
36%No goal after half-time27%
BolognaAC Milan

Bologna - second-half results

36% W23% D41% L
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AC Milan - second-half results

55% W27% D18% L
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding219%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bologna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
AC Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.20
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bologna
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
8
6
31-45
9
4
46-60
4
8
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
9
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bologna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BolognaLigaAC Milan
Average goals per game 2.682.40 2.36
Both teams scored 55%46% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%45% 45%
Clean sheets 27%32% 45%
Goal before half-time 55%64% 55%
Goal after half-time 91%76% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / game
1.12
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AC MilanGoalChristopher Nkunku
  2. AC MilanGoalAdrien Rabiot
  3. BolognaYellow cardFederico Ravaglia
  4. BolognaSubstitutionOn: Federico BernardeschiOff: Riccardo Orsolini
  5. BolognaSubstitutionOn: Thijs DallingaOff: Santiago Thomas Castro
  6. BolognaYellow cardRemo Marco Freuler
  7. BolognaYellow cardLewis Ferguson
  8. BolognaSubstitutionOn: Nikola MoroOff: Remo Marco Freuler

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gianluca ManganielloMatches officiated: 10
3.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins20%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Bologna's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against AC Milan. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

AC Milan
1 : 0
Bologna FC 1909

FAQ

What was the result of Bologna vs AC Milan?

The Serie A match finished Bologna 0:3 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bologna vs AC Milan?

Bologna score 1.45 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.59. The Serie A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Bologna's matches and 55% of AC Milan's.

What form are Bologna and AC Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Bologna have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AC Milan 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bologna vs AC Milan?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.