Italy - Serie AStadio Renato Dall'AraData current as of October 16, 2026

Bologna vs Inter Milan: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bologna vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bologna plays Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Recent form

Bologna has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Inter Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Bologna scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.17. Inter Milan scores 3.00 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Bologna's games and 67% of Inter Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 83%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.36 to 1.29 per game. Bologna takes 12.7 shots per game, while Inter Milan takes 22.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Bologna leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Inter Milan leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bologna's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Inter Milan, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.41)
(4.47)
(1.65)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BolognaInter Milan
0.83Goals scored / game3
BolognaInter Milan
1.17Goals allowed / game1.33
BolognaInter Milan
51%Average possession62%
BolognaInter Milan
3.5Shots on target / game7.17
BolognaInter Milan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.67Shots per game22.5
BolognaInter Milan
3.5Shots on target7.17
BolognaInter Milan
6.6%Shot conversion13.3%
BolognaInter Milan
51%Possession62%
BolognaInter Milan
1.29xG for2.36
BolognaInter Milan
1.39xG against1.18
BolognaInter Milan

Shooting quality

Bologna: BalancedInter Milan: Dominant
BolognaInter Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inter Milan is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Bologna · 2.6 pts / game - Inter Milan

Bologna
LDLDW
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Inter Milan
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
83% W17% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-0
2.67 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 261% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Bologna · 3 goals / game - Inter Milan

Bologna is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - Bologna · 1.33 goals / game - Inter Milan

Bologna scoring profile: mixed

Bologna scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Inter Milan scoring profile: very strong

Inter Milan scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

5Goals scored (season)18
BolognaInter Milan
7Goals conceded (season)8
BolognaInter Milan
2Average goals per game4.33
BolognaInter Milan
5Goals scored (last 5)14
BolognaInter Milan
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
BolognaInter Milan

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
BolognaInter Milan
33%2 goals83%
BolognaInter Milan
0%3 goals67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%4 goals33%
BolognaInter Milan

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
BolognaInter Milan
17%2 goals50%
BolognaInter Milan
0%3 goals17%
BolognaInter Milan
0%4 goals0%
BolognaInter Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan
0%BTTS in both halves17%
BolognaInter Milan
17%Scored in both halves33%
BolognaInter Milan

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
BolognaInter Milan
60%BTTS - last 560%
BolognaInter Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
BolognaInter Milan

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bologna - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Inter Milan - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.5
BolognaInter Milan
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.17
BolognaInter Milan
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
BolognaInter Milan
0.5Average goals (1st half)2
BolognaInter Milan
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BolognaInter Milan
67%No goal before half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)2.33
BolognaInter Milan
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.83
BolognaInter Milan
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BolognaInter Milan
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.33
BolognaInter Milan
0%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
67%No goal after half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

Bologna - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inter Milan - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bologna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Inter Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game1.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game2.02.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bologna
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bologna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
227%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BolognaLigaInter Milan
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.87▲ 4.33
Both teams scored▼ 50%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%57%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%67%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Bologna's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Inter Milan. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Bologna and Inter Milan play?

Bologna face Inter Milan on October 17, 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Inter Milan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0, Inter Milan won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bologna vs Inter Milan?

Bologna score 0.83 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 3.00. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bologna's matches and 67% of Inter Milan's.

What form are Bologna and Inter Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Bologna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bologna vs Inter Milan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bologna vs Inter Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.