England - ChampionshipUniversity of Bolton StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bolton Wanderers plays Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: University of Bolton Stadium.

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Middlesbrough has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bolton Wanderers scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.64. Middlesbrough scores 2.00 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Bolton Wanderers's games and 82% of Middlesbrough's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 73%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Middlesbrough has the higher season xG average, 2.07 to 1.51 per game. Bolton Wanderers takes 13.8 shots per game, while Middlesbrough takes 19.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Middlesbrough leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.36 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bolton Wanderers's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Middlesbrough, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.12)
(4.15)
(1.71)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.36Goals scored / game2
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.64Goals allowed / game1.45
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
50%Average possession60%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
4.73Shots on target / game6.18
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.82Shots per game19.09
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
4.73Shots on target6.18
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
9.9%Shot conversion10.5%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
50%Possession60%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.51xG for2.07
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.49xG against1.25
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

Shooting quality

Bolton Wanderers: BalancedMiddlesbrough: Dominant
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bolton Wanderers is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers · 1.8 pts / game - Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers
WWLWD
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-5
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Middlesbrough
DDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
55% W36% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.35Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Middlesbrough is 47% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers · 2 goals / game - Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.64 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers · 1.45 goals / game - Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 games), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

15Goals scored (season)22
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
18Goals conceded (season)16
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
3Average goals per game3.45
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal100%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
45%2 goals64%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
18%3 goals27%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
9%4 goals9%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal82%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
45%2 goals55%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
36%3 goals9%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
9%4 goals0%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time9%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
18%BTTS in both halves9%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
27%Scored in both halves18%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS73%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
60%BTTS - last 580%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Middlesbrough is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers · 1.64 pts / game - Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing
Middlesbrough - half-time state
45% leading27% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per game (1st half)1.64
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.18
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
55%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
55%No goal before half-time55%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per game (2nd half)1.73
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)1.36
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
1.64Average goals (2nd half)2.27
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
27%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
55%No goal after half-time27%
Bolton WanderersMiddlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

27% W27% D45% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Middlesbrough - second-half results

55% W9% D36% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Middlesbrough - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.21.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.02.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.22
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Bolton WanderersLigaMiddlesbrough
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.88▲ 3.45
Both teams scored▼ 55%64%▲ 82%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%61%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 27%21%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%77%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%79%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough play?

Bolton Wanderers face Middlesbrough on October 23, 2026 in Championship at University of Bolton Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Bolton Wanderers score 1.36 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 2.00. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Bolton Wanderers's matches and 82% of Middlesbrough's.

What form are Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough in?

Over the last 5 games Bolton Wanderers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Middlesbrough 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

The statistical background for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.