Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boreham Wood play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 29 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Boreham Wood: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boreham Wood scores 2.04 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boreham Wood 61%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Boreham Wood 71%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.84. Boreham Wood: 13.8 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.
Match halves
Boreham Wood: half-time lead 51%, second-half goals 1.08. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Boreham Wood: 76-90+ (24 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). Boreham Wood have a 74% home win rate, score 2.09 goals per game on average and record an average xG of 1.89, while Forest Green win only 35% of away matches, score 1.43 goals on average and have an xG of 1.62. The home advantage is further supported by chance quality and finishing metrics — Boreham register 6.22 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate versus the visitors’ 4.87 SOT and 11% conversion, and the clean-sheet vulnerability is 4% for the hosts versus 22% for Forest Green. Defensively the teams are similar in xG conceded (1.29 vs 1.34) and average goals conceded (1.04 vs 1.30), but the hosts have more clean sheets (35% vs 22%) and a significantly better home goal differential (+24 compared to the visitors’ +3 on the road). Considering form (Boreham 4 wins in last 5 and 13 goals scored, Forest Green 3 wins and 14 goals) and the advantage in conversion and home stability, I assign a 65% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boreham Wood | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boreham Wood is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Boreham Wood · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boreham Wood is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - Boreham Wood · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Boreham Wood · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Boreham Wood scores in 94% of matches (46 of 49 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Boreham Wood keeps a clean sheet in 37% (18 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Boreham Wood
Over / Under — Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boreham Wood is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Boreham Wood · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boreham Wood - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 51% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boreham Wood
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Boreham Wood | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.92 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Boreham Wood 0 - 1 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Boreham Wood 1:0 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boreham Wood and Forest Green Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 0, Forest Green Rovers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers?
Boreham Wood score 2.04 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Boreham Wood's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Boreham Wood and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Boreham Wood have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boreham Wood vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.