Borneo vs Dewa United: match statistics

Dewa United top the table and remain unbeaten after two rounds, while Borneo lost their only league match so far 0:1. However, the hosts have a clearly better trend over a broader sample: in their last five matches, they have scored 12 goals, won 3 times and conceded just 4, whereas the visitors have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 goals. At home, Borneo have yet to score, but they created chances worth 1.07 xG while allowing their opponents just 0.62 xG, indicating solid defensive organization. Dewa United kept a clean sheet in their away match and average 4 shots on target per game compared with Borneo’s 3, but they allow opponents a high 1.83 xG. The visitors’ advantage in the table is therefore offset by Borneo’s strong recent form and defensive solidity, making a draw the most likely outcome.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Dewa United’s highly solid defensive record: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches this season and have yet to concede a goal. Borneo averages 2.0 goals at home, but its current BTTS rate over the last five matches for both teams is only 40%, compared with just 20% for Dewa United. However, both teams show attacking potential, as their xG over the last five matches stands at 1.66 and 1.64 respectively, with each averaging more than 1.5 goals per game. Crucially, though, during the same period both sides conceded only 0.8 goals per match, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. The No Goal pick is therefore slightly stronger than the league average of 55% of matches in which both teams score.

In their last 5 matches, Borneo averaged 2.4 goals scored but conceded only 0.8, while Dewa United averaged 1.6 goals scored and also conceded 0.8. The combined average number of goals in each team’s five most recent matches was 2.4, just below the league average of 2.45. Both teams had 40% of their matches finish with at least 3 goals during this period, which does not support the regular occurrence of very high-scoring games. The xG figures are higher, at 1.66 for Borneo and 1.64 for Dewa United, but the solid defensive records of both sides limit the projection to 2.48 goals. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as four or more goals would require a clear departure from both teams’ recent defensive profile.

Borneo is showing better current form: across their last five matches, they have averaged 2.4 goals and won 60% of their games, while Dewa United averaged 1.6 goals and recorded a 40% win rate. The hosts also have the advantage before the break, scoring an average of 1.0 goal in the first half while conceding just 0.4, compared with Dewa United’s figures of 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. In the second halves, Borneo averaged 1.4 goals, while their opponents scored only 0.4, supporting the scenario of maintaining or extending a lead. Although Dewa United kept a clean sheet and won their only away match so far, the sample is too small compared with Borneo’s clearly superior data from their last five matches. The most likely outcome therefore remains the HT/FT 1/1 scenario, with Borneo leading at the break and winning the match.