Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich presents itself decidedly better this season, occupying first place in the table with 19 wins and just one defeat, while Borussia Dortmund is in second position. The visitors boast impressive away form with 82% of matches won and an average of 3.36 goals scored per away match, which, with a conversion rate of 19% and an average of 8.64 shots on target, highlights their effectiveness. Bayern also dominates regarding possession (67% vs 56%) and expected goals (2.21 xG vs 1.73 xG), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Borussia has a solid home record, but the goal difference (28 vs 18) and recent form (Bayern: 2.6 pts/match vs Dortmund: 2.0 pts/match) speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Bayern Munich has the advantage and greater chances of victory in this prestigious Der Klassiker clash.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Borussia Dortmund played against Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Bayern München has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Borussia Dortmund scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 0.96. Bayern München scores 3.70 and allows 0.91. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Borussia Dortmund's games and 61% of Bayern München's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 100%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.33 to 1.61 per game. Borussia Dortmund takes 13.1 shots per game, while Bayern München takes 19.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Borussia Dortmund leads at halftime in 70% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Bayern München leads at halftime in 65% and scores 2.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Borussia Dortmund's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For Bayern München, it is minutes 76-90+ (25 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich presents itself decidedly better this season, occupying first place in the table with 19 wins and just one defeat, while Borussia Dortmund is in second position. The visitors boast impressive away form with 82% of matches won and an average of 3.36 goals scored per away match, which, with a conversion rate of 19% and an average of 8.64 shots on target, highlights their effectiveness. Bayern also dominates regarding possession (67% vs 56%) and expected goals (2.21 xG vs 1.73 xG), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Borussia has a solid home record, but the goal difference (28 vs 18) and recent form (Bayern: 2.6 pts/match vs Dortmund: 2.0 pts/match) speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Bayern Munich has the advantage and greater chances of victory in this prestigious Der Klassiker clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Borussia Dortmund is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Borussia Dortmund · 2 pts / game - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 74% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 3.7 goals / game - Bayern München
Bayern München is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 0.91 goals / game - Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of games (23 of 23 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (23 of 23 meczów), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 70% of games and wins 65%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +18 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.09 | 3.17 | ▲ 4.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 83% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Borussia Dortmund's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bayern München. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 2:3 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
Borussia Dortmund score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.70. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 61% of Bayern München's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bayern München 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


