Germany - BundesligaData current as of September 06, 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: match statistics

Borussia Dortmund crest
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2half-time 0:2
Hamburger SV crest
Hamburger SV
170%(1.38)
X20%(5.00)
210%(7.09)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.73.08
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.-3.40%

Borussia Dortmund holds a decisive advantage as the home team, currently sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 77% home wins and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match with a 16% conversion rate and keep clean sheets in 62% of matches. Hamburger SV performs poorly away from home with just 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11, failing to score in 42% of away matches. The recent form of both teams over the last 5 matches also favors Borussia (1.4 pts/match vs 1.0 pts/match). xG statistics show a clear advantage for the hosts (1.69 vs 1.28), which, combined with the visitors' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match), further confirms the predicted victory for Borussia Dortmund.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Borussia Dortmund played against Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Hamburger SV has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Borussia Dortmund scores 2.12 goals per game and allows 1.00. Hamburger SV scores 1.12 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Borussia Dortmund's games and 58% of Hamburger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Borussia Dortmund has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.36 per game. Borussia Dortmund takes 13.1 shots per game, while Hamburger SV takes 12.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Borussia Dortmund leads at halftime in 73% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.65 after halftime.

When the teams score

Borussia Dortmund's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For Hamburger SV, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Borussia Dortmund holds a decisive advantage as the home team, currently sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 77% home wins and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match with a 16% conversion rate and keep clean sheets in 62% of matches. Hamburger SV performs poorly away from home with just 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11, failing to score in 42% of away matches. The recent form of both teams over the last 5 matches also favors Borussia (1.4 pts/match vs 1.0 pts/match). xG statistics show a clear advantage for the hosts (1.69 vs 1.28), which, combined with the visitors' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match), further confirms the predicted victory for Borussia Dortmund.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
3 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
24Shots4
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
8Shots on target4
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
2.77xG0.57
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
11Corners3
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
98Dangerous attacks5
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
10Fouls8
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
2Cards3
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.23Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.15
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
2.12Goals scored / game1.12
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1Goals allowed / game1.42
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.59xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.36
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
53%Average possession47%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
4.81Shots on target / game4.62
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
46%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.23%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
54%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.58%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.12Shots per game12.38
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
4.81Shots on target4.62
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
16.1%Shot conversion9%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
53%Possession47%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.59xG for1.36
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.24xG against1.55
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Shooting quality

Borussia Dortmund: Efficient finishingHamburger SV: Balanced
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Borussia Dortmund is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1 pts / game - Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund
WDLWW
Season result split
65% W27% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-2
2.23 pts / game · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Hamburger SV
DLLWD
Season result split
27% W35% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-9-10
1.15 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Borussia Dortmund is 89% better for: goals scored per game.

2.12 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1.12 goals / game - Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1.42 goals / game - Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund scoring profile: very strong

Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of games (26 of 26 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).

Hamburger SV scoring profile: mixed

Hamburger SV scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).

55Goals scored (season)29
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
26Goals conceded (season)37
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
3.12Average goals per game2.54
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
12Goals scored (last 5)5
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
46%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.12 of 26 meczów
0%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.0 of 26 meczów
Hamburger SV
23%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 26 meczów
35%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.9 of 26 meczów

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal65%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
73%2 goals31%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
35%3 goals12%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
4%4 goals4%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal77%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
31%2 goals38%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
15%3 goals12%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
0%4 goals12%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
Borussia Dortmund - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 26 meczów
58%
Hamburger SV - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 26 meczów
58%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time23%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
62%Scored in both halves27%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
60%BTTS - last 580%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.85%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
88%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.73%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
58%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.50%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
31%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.27%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
23%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.19%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 88%Under 12%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 58%Under 42%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 31%Under 69%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 23%Under 77%

Over / Under - Hamburger SV

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 85%Under 15%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 73%Under 27%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 19%Under 81%

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Borussia Dortmund is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.38 pts / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1.08 pts / game - Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund - half-time state
73% leading19% draw8% trailing
Hamburger SV - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.38Points per game (1st half)1.08
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.04Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
0.23Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.15
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
81%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
15%No goal before half-time62%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per game (2nd half)1.08
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
1.85Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
54%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
23%No goal after half-time46%
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund - second-half results

38% W46% R15% P
62
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at halftime in 73% of games and wins 65%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamburger SV - second-half results

19% W50% R31% P
28
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Borussia Dortmund - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Hamburger SV - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Borussia Dortmund
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
15
2
31-45
7
5
46-60
8
6
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Borussia Dortmund

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Borussia DortmundLigaHamburger SV
Average goals per game• 3.123.16▼ 2.54
Both teams scored▼ 54%58%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 58%62%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 46%23%• 23%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%76%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%84%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hamburger SVGoalPhilip OteleAssist: William Mikelbrencis
  2. Hamburger SVGoalAlbert-Mboyo Sambi LokongaAssist: Fábio Daniel Ferreira Vieira
  3. Hamburger SVYellow cardNicolai Remberg
  4. Borussia DortmundYellow cardKarim Adeyemi
  5. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Damion DownsOff: Fábio Daniel Ferreira Vieira
  6. Hamburger SVYellow cardPhilip Otele
  7. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Fábio Amadu Uri BaldéOff: Philip Otele
  8. Hamburger SVYellow cardWilliam Mikelbrencis
  9. Borussia DortmundGoalRamy Bensebaini
  10. Borussia DortmundGoalSehrou GuirassyAssist: Julian Ryerson
  11. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Otto Emerson StangeOff: Ransford Königsdörffer
  12. Borussia DortmundGoalRamy Bensebaini
  13. Borussia DortmundSubstitutionOn: Julian BrandtOff: Felix Kalu Nmecha
  14. Borussia DortmundYellow cardJulian Ryerson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeMatthias Jöllenbeck

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Matthias JöllenbeckMatches officiated: 14
3.86Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins36%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Borussia Dortmund's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hamburger SV. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Hamburger SV
1 : 1
BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund

FAQ

What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

Borussia Dortmund score 2.12 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.12. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 58% of Hamburger SV's.

What form are Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV in?

Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamburger SV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

The statistical background for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.