Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Borussia Dortmund is the clear favorite in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place and display impressive home form with a 75% win rate and just 0.5 goals conceded per match on average at home. St. Pauli, sitting in 17th position, has a dramatic away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins on the road. The difference in offensive quality is massive – Dortmund scores an average of 2 goals per match at home, while St. Pauli nets just 0.67 goals away. Additionally, the hosts have a significantly higher xG (1.71 vs 1.04) and ball possession (54% vs 44%), confirming their advantage. The goal difference of both teams (+12 for Dortmund in home games vs -7 for St. Pauli in away games) clearly points to a certain victory for the hosts.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Borussia Dortmund played against St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. St. Pauli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Borussia Dortmund scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 0.88. St. Pauli scores 0.88 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Borussia Dortmund's games and 50% of St. Pauli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 56%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Borussia Dortmund has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.23 per game. Borussia Dortmund takes 12.5 shots per game, while St. Pauli takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Borussia Dortmund leads at halftime in 71% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. St. Pauli leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Borussia Dortmund's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For St. Pauli, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borussia Dortmund is the clear favorite in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place and display impressive home form with a 75% win rate and just 0.5 goals conceded per match on average at home. St. Pauli, sitting in 17th position, has a dramatic away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins on the road. The difference in offensive quality is massive – Dortmund scores an average of 2 goals per match at home, while St. Pauli nets just 0.67 goals away. Additionally, the hosts have a significantly higher xG (1.71 vs 1.04) and ball possession (54% vs 44%), confirming their advantage. The goal difference of both teams (+12 for Dortmund in home games vs -7 for St. Pauli in away games) clearly points to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Borussia Dortmund is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1 pts / game - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borussia Dortmund is 114% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 0.88 goals / game - St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Borussia Dortmund · 1.75 goals / game - St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of games (17 of 17 meczów), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
St. Pauli scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia Dortmund is 190% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.35 pts / game - Borussia Dortmund · 0.81 pts / game - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 59%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.76 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Borussia Dortmund's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against St. Pauli. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 3:2 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
Borussia Dortmund score 1.88 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.88. The Bundesliga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 50% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
The statistical background for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.