Boston River vs Nacional: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Boston River and Nacional show identical form in their last five matches – one win and four draws each, which gives them 1.4 points per game. Boston River demonstrates an offensive advantage with 8 goals scored in the last five matches compared to Nacional's 4 goals, but the hosts have also conceded more goals (4 vs 3). The lack of detailed home and away data significantly hinders precise analysis; however, the series of draws in both teams' recent matches (ddwdd for Boston and dddwd for Nacional) suggests a defensive approach and difficulties in deciding matches. I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this match, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage.
Boston River vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boston River play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 9 February 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Boston River: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boston River scores 0.90 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boston River 43%, Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: Boston River 43%, Nacional 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.26. Boston River: 10.0 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Boston River: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62. Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Boston River: 76-90+ (7 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Boston River and Nacional show identical form in their last five matches – one win and four draws each, which gives them 1.4 points per game. Boston River demonstrates an offensive advantage with 8 goals scored in the last five matches compared to Nacional's 4 goals, but the hosts have also conceded more goals (4 vs 3). The lack of detailed home and away data significantly hinders precise analysis; however, the series of draws in both teams' recent matches (ddwdd for Boston and dddwd for Nacional) suggests a defensive approach and difficulties in deciding matches. I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this match, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boston River | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Boston River · 1.4 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Boston River · 1.52 goals / match - Nacional
Boston River scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Boston River
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Boston River · 1.24 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boston River - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boston River
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boston River | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Boston River 0 - 1 - 2 Nacional. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boston River vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Boston River 1:2 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Boston River won 0, Nacional won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Nacional?
Boston River score 0.90 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.52. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Boston River's matches and 57% of Nacional's.
What form are Boston River and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nacional 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Nacional?
The statistical background for Boston River vs Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.