Botafogo vs Cruzeiro: match statistics
Botafogo presents decisively better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per game and recording a record of 4 wins with only 1 loss. The hosts have scored 10 goals while conceding just 4, demonstrating an effective offense and solid defense. Cruzeiro is in clearly weaker disposition with 1.2 points per game and a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in recent meetings. The difference in form (wwlww vs lwwll) and goal difference (10:4 vs 9:6) speaks in favor of Botafogo. Table positions are close, however, the advantage in form and playing at home give the hosts a clear edge in this clash. I expect a confident victory for Botafogo, although Cruzeiro may put up resistance, hence the slight probability of a draw.
Botafogo vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo play Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 January 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cruzeiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 83%, Cruzeiro 67%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 83%, Cruzeiro 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Botafogo: 12.6 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 14.2.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cruzeiro: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Botafogo presents decisively better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per game and recording a record of 4 wins with only 1 loss. The hosts have scored 10 goals while conceding just 4, demonstrating an effective offense and solid defense. Cruzeiro is in clearly weaker disposition with 1.2 points per game and a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in recent meetings. The difference in form (wwlww vs lwwll) and goal difference (10:4 vs 9:6) speaks in favor of Botafogo. Table positions are close, however, the advantage in form and playing at home give the hosts a clear edge in this clash. I expect a confident victory for Botafogo, although Cruzeiro may put up resistance, hence the slight probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.33 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.56 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Cruzeiro scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botafogo
Over / Under — Cruzeiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.28 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Botafogo 0 - 1 - 1 Cruzeiro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo vs Cruzeiro?
The Serie A match finished Botafogo 4:0 Cruzeiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Cruzeiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 0, Cruzeiro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Cruzeiro?
Botafogo score 1.83 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Botafogo's matches and 67% of Cruzeiro's.
What form are Botafogo and Cruzeiro in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cruzeiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Cruzeiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.