Brazil - Serie AData current as of 04 August 2026

Botafogo vs Fluminense: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Botafogo vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fluminense: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.70 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.43 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 75%, Fluminense 71%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 75%, Fluminense 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Fluminense has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.44. Botafogo: 12.7 shots per match, Fluminense: 15.3.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95. Fluminense: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.73)
(3.32)
(2.68)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BotafogoFluminense
1.7Goals scored / match1.43
BotafogoFluminense
1.6Goals conceded / match1.19
BotafogoFluminense
48%Average possession59%
BotafogoFluminense
5.1Shots on target / match5.76
BotafogoFluminense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.7Shots per match15.29
BotafogoFluminense
5.1Shots on target5.76
BotafogoFluminense
13.4%Shot conversion9.3%
BotafogoFluminense
48%Possession59%
BotafogoFluminense
1.44xG for1.73
BotafogoFluminense
1.7xG against1.35
BotafogoFluminense

Shooting quality

Botafogo: Efficient finishingFluminense: Dominant
BotafogoFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Botafogo · 0.8 pts / match - Fluminense

Botafogo
DLWDW
Season result split
40% W25% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-7
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Fluminense
LDDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W33% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-5
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.43 goals / match - Fluminense

Fluminense is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.19 goals / match - Fluminense

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).

34Goals scored (season)30
BotafogoFluminense
32Goals conceded (season)25
BotafogoFluminense
3.3Average goals in match2.62
BotafogoFluminense
5Goals scored (last 5)3
BotafogoFluminense
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
BotafogoFluminense

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal86%
BotafogoFluminense
50%2 goals43%
BotafogoFluminense
25%3 goals14%
BotafogoFluminense
10%4 goals0%
BotafogoFluminense

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal81%
BotafogoFluminense
45%2 goals33%
BotafogoFluminense
15%3 goals5%
BotafogoFluminense
10%4 goals0%
BotafogoFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time14%
BotafogoFluminense
10%BTTS in both halves10%
BotafogoFluminense
30%Scored in both halves29%
BotafogoFluminense

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
BotafogoFluminense
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BotafogoFluminense
60%BTTS - last 560%
BotafogoFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BotafogoFluminense
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
BotafogoFluminense
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
BotafogoFluminense

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
BotafogoFluminense
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
BotafogoFluminense
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
BotafogoFluminense

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.62 pts / match - Fluminense

Botafogo - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
43% leading33% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.62
BotafogoFluminense
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.67
BotafogoFluminense
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
BotafogoFluminense
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.05
BotafogoFluminense
45%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BotafogoFluminense
50%No goal before half-time48%
BotafogoFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.29
BotafogoFluminense
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
BotafogoFluminense
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
BotafogoFluminense
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.57
BotafogoFluminense
40%Clean sheet after half-time33%
BotafogoFluminense
35%No goal after half-time38%
BotafogoFluminense

Botafogo - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fluminense - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
3
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
2
31-45
6
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaFluminense
Average goals in match 3.302.59 2.62
Both teams scored 75%58% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%49% 48%
Clean sheets 15%24% 19%
Goal before half-time 75%76% 71%
Goal after half-time 90%77% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Botafogo 1 - 0 - 2 Fluminense. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Fluminense
1 : 0
Botafogo
Fluminense FC
2 : 0
Botafogo FR
Botafogo FR
2 : 0
Fluminense FC

FAQ

When do Botafogo and Fluminense play?

Botafogo face Fluminense on 9 August 2026 in Serie A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Fluminense?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1, Fluminense won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Botafogo score 1.70 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.43. The Serie A average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Botafogo's matches and 71% of Fluminense's.

What form are Botafogo and Fluminense in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fluminense 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botafogo vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.