Botafogo vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Botafogo played against Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on November 22, 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Botafogo has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Grêmio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Botafogo scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.88. Grêmio scores 1.09 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Botafogo's games and 53% of Grêmio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 32%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Botafogo has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.28 per game. Botafogo takes 14.6 shots per game, while Grêmio takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Botafogo leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Grêmio leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.56 after halftime.

When the teams score

Botafogo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Grêmio, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
BotafogoGrêmio
16Shots11
BotafogoGrêmio
7Shots on target5
BotafogoGrêmio
1.81xG1.28
BotafogoGrêmio
7Corners1
BotafogoGrêmio
43Dangerous attacks31
BotafogoGrêmio
17Fouls8
BotafogoGrêmio
2Cards4
BotafogoGrêmio

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.38Goals scored / game1.09
BotafogoGrêmio
0.88Goals allowed / game1.26
BotafogoGrêmio
52%Average possession44%
BotafogoGrêmio
5.06Shots on target / game4.12
BotafogoGrêmio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.62Shots per game11.97
BotafogoGrêmio
5.06Shots on target4.12
BotafogoGrêmio
9.5%Shot conversion9.1%
BotafogoGrêmio
52%Possession44%
BotafogoGrêmio
1.55xG for1.28
BotafogoGrêmio
1.27xG against1.6
BotafogoGrêmio

Shooting quality

Botafogo: AttackingGrêmio: Balanced
BotafogoGrêmio
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Botafogo is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Botafogo · 1.4 pts / game - Grêmio

Botafogo
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
44% W29% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-9
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Grêmio
WLLDW
Season result split
32% W29% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 27% better for: goals scored per game.

1.38 goals / game - Botafogo · 1.09 goals / game - Grêmio

Botafogo is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.88 goals / game - Botafogo · 1.26 goals / game - Grêmio

Botafogo scoring profile: strong

Botafogo scores in 59% of games (20 of 34 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 meczów).

Grêmio scoring profile: mixed

Grêmio scores in 68% of games (23 of 34 meczów), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 meczów).

47Goals scored (season)37
BotafogoGrêmio
30Goals conceded (season)43
BotafogoGrêmio
2.26Average goals per game2.35
BotafogoGrêmio
8Goals scored (last 5)7
BotafogoGrêmio
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
BotafogoGrêmio

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal68%
BotafogoGrêmio
44%2 goals29%
BotafogoGrêmio
24%3 goals12%
BotafogoGrêmio
9%4 goals0%
BotafogoGrêmio

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal82%
BotafogoGrêmio
26%2 goals26%
BotafogoGrêmio
6%3 goals9%
BotafogoGrêmio
0%4 goals9%
BotafogoGrêmio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
BotafogoGrêmio
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BotafogoGrêmio
35%Scored in both halves15%
BotafogoGrêmio

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
BotafogoGrêmio
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BotafogoGrêmio
40%BTTS - last 540%
BotafogoGrêmio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
BotafogoGrêmio
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
BotafogoGrêmio
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
BotafogoGrêmio

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
BotafogoGrêmio
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
BotafogoGrêmio
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
BotafogoGrêmio

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / game - Botafogo · 1.29 pts / game - Grêmio

Botafogo - half-time state
35% leading35% draw29% trailing
Grêmio - half-time state
29% leading41% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per game (1st half)1.29
BotafogoGrêmio
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.53
BotafogoGrêmio
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
BotafogoGrêmio
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.09
BotafogoGrêmio
62%Clean sheet before half-time56%
BotafogoGrêmio
56%No goal before half-time62%
BotafogoGrêmio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per game (2nd half)1.09
BotafogoGrêmio
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
BotafogoGrêmio
0.41Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
BotafogoGrêmio
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.26
BotafogoGrêmio
71%Clean sheet after half-time41%
BotafogoGrêmio
50%No goal after half-time56%
BotafogoGrêmio

Botafogo - second-half results

41% W38% D21% L
48
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grêmio - second-half results

24% W38% D38% L
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Botafogo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
5
5
16-30
12
6
31-45
8
6
46-60
4
3
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
4
6
16-30
11
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaGrêmio
Average goals per game 2.262.46 2.35
Both teams scored 29%48% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%44% 32%
Clean sheets 44%30% 18%
Goal before half-time 68%70% 68%
Goal after half-time 71%74% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Felipe Fernandes de LimaMatches officiated: 19
4.32Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins37%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Botafogo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Grêmio. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
1 : 1
Botafogo FR

FAQ

What was the result of Botafogo vs Grêmio?

The Serie A match finished Botafogo 3:2 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo score 1.38 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.09. The Serie A average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Botafogo's matches and 53% of Grêmio's.

What form are Botafogo and Grêmio in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Grêmio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botafogo vs Grêmio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.