Botafogo vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 22 November 2025 at 23:30. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Botafogo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Grêmio: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.53 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.24 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 37%, Grêmio 55%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 42%, Grêmio 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.33. Botafogo: 14.3 shots per match, Grêmio: 12.3.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.87. Grêmio: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (17 goals). Grêmio: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
BotafogoGrêmio
16Shots11
BotafogoGrêmio
7Shots on target5
BotafogoGrêmio
1.81xG1.28
BotafogoGrêmio
7Corners1
BotafogoGrêmio
43Dangerous attacks31
BotafogoGrêmio
17Fouls8
BotafogoGrêmio
2Cards4
BotafogoGrêmio

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match1.24
BotafogoGrêmio
1Goals conceded / match1.32
BotafogoGrêmio
52%Average possession45%
BotafogoGrêmio
5.05Shots on target / match4.5
BotafogoGrêmio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.32Shots per match12.26
BotafogoGrêmio
5.05Shots on target4.5
BotafogoGrêmio
10.7%Shot conversion10.1%
BotafogoGrêmio
52%Possession45%
BotafogoGrêmio
1.54xG for1.33
BotafogoGrêmio
1.27xG against1.59
BotafogoGrêmio

Shooting quality

Botafogo: AttackingGrêmio: Balanced
BotafogoGrêmio
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.8 pts / match - Grêmio

Botafogo
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W32% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-12-9
1.66 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Grêmio
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W26% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-15
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.24 goals / match - Grêmio

Botafogo is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.32 goals / match - Grêmio

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

58Goals scored (season)47
BotafogoGrêmio
38Goals conceded (season)50
BotafogoGrêmio
2.53Average goals in match2.55
BotafogoGrêmio
14Goals scored (last 5)12
BotafogoGrêmio
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
BotafogoGrêmio

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal71%
BotafogoGrêmio
50%2 goals34%
BotafogoGrêmio
26%3 goals16%
BotafogoGrêmio
11%4 goals3%
BotafogoGrêmio

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal82%
BotafogoGrêmio
34%2 goals32%
BotafogoGrêmio
5%3 goals11%
BotafogoGrêmio
0%4 goals8%
BotafogoGrêmio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time16%
BotafogoGrêmio
3%BTTS in both halves3%
BotafogoGrêmio
37%Scored in both halves18%
BotafogoGrêmio

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
BotafogoGrêmio
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
BotafogoGrêmio
100%BTTS - last 560%
BotafogoGrêmio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BotafogoGrêmio
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
BotafogoGrêmio
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BotafogoGrêmio

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
BotafogoGrêmio
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
BotafogoGrêmio
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
BotafogoGrêmio

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.26 pts / match - Grêmio

Botafogo - half-time state
34% leading34% draw32% trailing
Grêmio - half-time state
29% leading39% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.26
BotafogoGrêmio
0.66Goals scored (1st half)0.58
BotafogoGrêmio
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
BotafogoGrêmio
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.18
BotafogoGrêmio
58%Clean sheet before half-time53%
BotafogoGrêmio
55%No goal before half-time61%
BotafogoGrêmio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1.24
BotafogoGrêmio
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
BotafogoGrêmio
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
BotafogoGrêmio
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.37
BotafogoGrêmio
63%Clean sheet after half-time39%
BotafogoGrêmio
45%No goal after half-time50%
BotafogoGrêmio

Botafogo - second-half results

45% W34% R21% P
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grêmio - second-half results

29% W37% R34% P
48
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.83.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Grêmio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
6
6
16-30
13
6
31-45
11
9
46-60
5
3
61-75
17
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
9
16-30
14
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+97%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaGrêmio
Average goals in match 2.532.52 2.55
Both teams scored 37%47% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%46% 39%
Clean sheets 39%30% 18%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Botafogo 0 - 1 - 1 Grêmio. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Grêmio
5 : 3
Botafogo
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
1 : 1
Botafogo FR

FAQ

What was the result of Botafogo vs Grêmio?

The Serie A match finished Botafogo 3:2 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Grêmio?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 0, Grêmio won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo score 1.53 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Botafogo's matches and 55% of Grêmio's.

What form are Botafogo and Grêmio in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grêmio 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botafogo vs Grêmio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.