Brazil - Serie AData current as of 19 July 2026

Botafogo vs Vitória: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Botafogo vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo play Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 01:00.

Current form

Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vitória: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Vitória scores 1.22 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 83%, Vitória 44%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 83%, Vitória 39%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Botafogo: 12.6 shots per match, Vitória: 11.2.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06. Vitória: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Vitória: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(4.00)
(6.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match1.22
BotafogoVitória
1.78Goals conceded / match1.39
BotafogoVitória
48%Average possession45%
BotafogoVitória
5.11Shots on target / match4.17
BotafogoVitória

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.61Shots per match11.17
BotafogoVitória
5.11Shots on target4.17
BotafogoVitória
14.5%Shot conversion10.9%
BotafogoVitória
48%Possession45%
BotafogoVitória
1.43xG for1.24
BotafogoVitória
1.76xG against1.52
BotafogoVitória

Shooting quality

Botafogo: Efficient finishingVitória: Balanced
BotafogoVitória
Accuracy (shots on target)41%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória

Botafogo
DWDLW
Season result split
39% W22% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Vitória
DLWLW
Season result split
39% W22% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.22 goals / match - Vitória

Vitória is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.78 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.39 goals / match - Vitória

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

Vitória scoring profile: very strong

Vitória scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

33Goals scored (season)22
BotafogoVitória
32Goals conceded (season)25
BotafogoVitória
3.61Average goals in match2.61
BotafogoVitória
8Goals scored (last 5)6
BotafogoVitória
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
BotafogoVitória

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
BotafogoVitória
56%2 goals33%
BotafogoVitória
28%3 goals6%
BotafogoVitória
11%4 goals6%
BotafogoVitória

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal61%
BotafogoVitória
50%2 goals44%
BotafogoVitória
17%3 goals22%
BotafogoVitória
11%4 goals6%
BotafogoVitória

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
BotafogoVitória
11%BTTS in both halves0%
BotafogoVitória
33%Scored in both halves22%
BotafogoVitória

BTTS and goal count

72%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BotafogoVitória
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BotafogoVitória
100%BTTS - last 540%
BotafogoVitória

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
BotafogoVitória
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BotafogoVitória
28%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
BotafogoVitória

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
BotafogoVitória
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
BotafogoVitória
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
BotafogoVitória

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.17 pts / match - Vitória

Botafogo - half-time state
39% leading28% draw33% trailing
Vitória - half-time state
28% leading33% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.17
BotafogoVitória
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.44
BotafogoVitória
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
BotafogoVitória
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.28
BotafogoVitória
39%Clean sheet before half-time44%
BotafogoVitória
50%No goal before half-time61%
BotafogoVitória

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.61
BotafogoVitória
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
BotafogoVitória
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
BotafogoVitória
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.33
BotafogoVitória
33%Clean sheet after half-time61%
BotafogoVitória
28%No goal after half-time39%
BotafogoVitória

Botafogo - second-half results

44% W22% R33% P
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória - second-half results

44% W28% R28% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vitória - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
3
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vitória
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
2
10
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
1
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.11
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Vitória

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaVitória
Average goals in match 3.612.65 2.61
Both teams scored 83%58% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%50% 39%
Clean sheets 6%23% 39%
Goal before half-time 78%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Botafogo 0 - 2 - 0 Vitória. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

EC Vitória
0 : 0
Botafogo FR
Botafogo FR
0 : 0
EC Vitória

FAQ

When do Botafogo and Vitória play?

Botafogo face Vitória on 25 February 2026 in Serie A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Vitória?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 0, Vitória won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Vitória?

Botafogo score 1.83 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.22. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Botafogo's matches and 44% of Vitória's.

What form are Botafogo and Vitória in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vitória 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Vitória?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.