Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: match statistics
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Plovdiv play Lokomotiv Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 15:15. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Plovdiv scores 1.36 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Plovdiv 50%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%. Over 2.5: Botev Plovdiv 58%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.31. Botev Plovdiv: 12.9 shots per match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.1.
Match halves
Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.78. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.51.
Goals by minute
Botev Plovdiv: 46-60 (10 goals). Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a Botev Plovdiv home win, as they are in significantly better form over the last 5 matches: 4 wins and 1 draw with 12 goals scored, while Lokomotiv have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with 6 goals. Botev create superior chances — average xG at home 1.77 versus visitors’ 1.34 xG away, with average shots on target 5.47 vs 3.73 and average attempts 14.47 vs 10.67 favoring the hosts. Defensively Botev have conceded only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 per game in that period) versus 3 conceded by Lokomotiv (0.6 per game), although seasonal conceded-goals averages are similar: 1.27 (Botev at home) vs 1.20 (Lokomotiv away). Limiting factors are 33% goalless matches for Botev at home and higher Lokomotiv conversion (10% vs 8%), and the visitors also have a high away draw rate of 60%, increasing the chance of a point share. Considering PPG in the last 5 matches (2.6 vs 1.2) and the superiority in quality of chances, I assess probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 25%, away win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botev Plovdiv is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 0.97 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.11 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botev Plovdiv
Over / Under — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.43 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Plovdiv | Liga | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botev Plovdiv 1 - 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The First League match finished Botev Plovdiv 0:2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.36 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.97. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botev Plovdiv's matches and 41% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's.
What form are Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Plovdiv have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.