Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 22 July 2026

Bra vs Ternana: match statistics

Bra crest
Bra
1 : 2half-time 1:1
Ternana crest
Ternana

Bra vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bra play Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Bra: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ternana: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ternana scores 1.22 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bra 69%, Ternana 56%. Over 2.5: Bra 53%, Ternana 42%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Ternana has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.01. Bra: 8.3 shots per match, Ternana: 12.1.

Match halves

Bra: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58. Ternana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Bra: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ternana: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I predict an away win (Ternana). Ternana sits 6th versus Bra’s 18th, and as the away side concedes on average 0.94 goals per match with seasonal xG against of 1.22, while Bra at home concedes 1.35 goals with xG against 1.46. Bra score on average 1.24 goals at home with a conversion rate of 14% and a low rate of goalless matches at 18%, but Ternana generates higher expected xG (1.31 vs 1.09) and attempts slightly more shots per game (9.76 vs 9.12), suggesting better quality of created chances. In the last 5 matches Bra scored 3 goals and averages 1.0 points per game (1W-2D-2L), while Ternana has 5 goals and 0.6 points per game (0W-3D-2L), so the visitors’ form is weaker, yet seasonal defensive metrics and xG favor them. Based on this I assess the probability distribution as: away 45%, draw 30%, home 25%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

30Possession (%)70
BraTernana
8Shots12
BraTernana
0Shots on target6
BraTernana
0.73xG1.56
BraTernana
1Corners4
BraTernana
30Dangerous attacks52
BraTernana
16Fouls9
BraTernana
1Cards3
BraTernana

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.03Goals scored / match1.22
BraTernana
1.5Goals conceded / match1.11
BraTernana
43%Average possession52%
BraTernana
2.61Shots on target / match3.97
BraTernana

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.31Shots per match12.14
BraTernana
2.61Shots on target3.97
BraTernana
12.4%Shot conversion10.1%
BraTernana
43%Possession52%
BraTernana
1.01xG for1.62
BraTernana
1.66xG against1.22
BraTernana

Shooting quality

Bra: Counter-attackingTernana: Balanced
BraTernana
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bra is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Bra · 1 pts / match - Ternana

Bra
DWDLD
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-14-16
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ternana
DLDWL
Season result split
39% W31% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-11
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-7-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ternana is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - Bra · 1.22 goals / match - Ternana

Ternana is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Bra · 1.11 goals / match - Ternana

Bra scoring profile: very strong

Bra scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

Ternana scoring profile: very strong

Ternana scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

37Goals scored (season)44
BraTernana
54Goals conceded (season)40
BraTernana
2.53Average goals in match2.33
BraTernana
5Goals scored (last 5)7
BraTernana
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
BraTernana

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal75%
BraTernana
25%2 goals42%
BraTernana
0%3 goals6%
BraTernana
0%4 goals0%
BraTernana

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal75%
BraTernana
47%2 goals25%
BraTernana
14%3 goals8%
BraTernana
6%4 goals3%
BraTernana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time22%
BraTernana
0%BTTS in both halves6%
BraTernana
17%Scored in both halves36%
BraTernana

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
BraTernana
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BraTernana
60%BTTS - last 5100%
BraTernana

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
BraTernana
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
BraTernana
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BraTernana

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BraTernana
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
BraTernana
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
BraTernana

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ternana is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Bra · 1.28 pts / match - Ternana

Bra - half-time state
22% leading50% draw28% trailing
Ternana - half-time state
25% leading53% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.28
BraTernana
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.53
BraTernana
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
BraTernana
1Average goals (1st half)1
BraTernana
58%Clean sheet before half-time61%
BraTernana
58%No goal before half-time53%
BraTernana

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.5
BraTernana
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
BraTernana
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
BraTernana
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.33
BraTernana
42%Clean sheet after half-time53%
BraTernana
47%No goal after half-time36%
BraTernana

Bra - second-half results

19% W36% R44% P
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ternana - second-half results

39% W33% R28% P
46
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ternana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bra
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
13
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ternana
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
6
3
16-30
8
8
31-45
7
8
46-60
10
6
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Ternana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

BraLigaTernana
Average goals in match 2.532.26 2.33
Both teams scored 69%49% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 42%
Clean sheets 17%31% 25%
Goal before half-time 64%63% 64%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bra 0 - 0 - 1 Ternana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bra vs Ternana?

The Serie C Group B match finished Bra 1:2 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bra vs Ternana?

Bra score 1.03 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.22. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Bra's matches and 56% of Ternana's.

What form are Bra and Ternana in?

Over the last 5 games Bra have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ternana 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bra vs Ternana?

The statistical background for Bra vs Ternana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.