Brann vs Fredrikstad: match statistics
Brann vs Fredrikstad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brann play Fredrikstad in Eliteserien (Norway). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Brann: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Fredrikstad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brann scores 2.00 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Fredrikstad scores 1.15 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brann 86%, Fredrikstad 69%. Over 2.5: Brann 86%, Fredrikstad 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Brann has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.31. Brann: 12.9 shots per match, Fredrikstad: 11.4.
Match halves
Brann: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.93. Fredrikstad: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Brann: 31-45+ (9 goals). Fredrikstad: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Brann victory: the home advantage stems from superior chance quality — Brann averages 1.78 xG at home versus Fredrikstad’s 1.29 xG on the road and averages 16 shots per match compared to the visitors’ 10.67. Additionally, Brann has higher possession (62% vs 55%) and a similar number of shots on target (3.5 vs 3.67), which gives them control of the game, although the hosts have poor finishing (conversion around 3%) and only average 0.5 goals per home match. Conversely, Fredrikstad are more efficient in finishing (conversion ~9% and 1.0 goals on average away), but are very vulnerable defensively — conceding 2.67 goals on average away versus 1.5 conceded by Brann at home. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.4 points per match, however Brann scored 10 goals in those five games versus Fredrikstad’s 8, suggesting an improvement in the hosts’ attack; at the same time Brann have lost all home matches this season (100% defeats), which increases the risk of the pick. Considering Brann’s higher xG and shot advantage and Fredrikstad’s defensive frailties, I give the hosts a slight edge, but expect an open game with a draw possible or goals from both sides.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brann | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fredrikstad is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Brann · 1.4 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brann is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Brann · 1.15 goals / match - Fredrikstad
Brann is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Brann · 1.77 goals / match - Fredrikstad
Brann scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
Fredrikstad scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Brann keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Brann
Over / Under — Fredrikstad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brann is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Brann · 0.85 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brann - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brann
Fredrikstad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Brann | Liga | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.57 | 2.95 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Brann 2 - 0 - 2 Fredrikstad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brann vs Fredrikstad?
The Eliteserien match finished Brann 3:1 Fredrikstad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Brann and Fredrikstad?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Brann won 2, Fredrikstad won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Brann vs Fredrikstad?
Brann score 2.00 goals per game on average and Fredrikstad 1.15. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Brann's matches and 69% of Fredrikstad's.
What form are Brann and Fredrikstad in?
Over the last 5 games Brann have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Fredrikstad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brann vs Fredrikstad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Brann vs Fredrikstad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


