Breidablik vs Keflavík: match statistics
Breidablik vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Breidablik played against Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on July 13, 2026. Venue: Kópavogsvöllur. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Breidablik has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Keflavík has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Breidablik scores 2.46 goals per game and allows 1.92. Keflavík scores 1.38 and allows 1.85. Games in this league average 4.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Breidablik's games and 85% of Keflavík's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 62%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Breidablik has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.60 per game. Breidablik takes 14.5 shots per game, while Keflavík takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Breidablik leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.38 goals per game after halftime. Keflavík leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Breidablik's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Keflavík, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.06 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breiðablik holds a clear offensive advantage and superior form: at home they average 3.00 goals per game from 16.17 shots and 6.00 on target, and have scored 32 goals this season, whereas Keflavík average 1.67 goals away from 13.83 shots and 4.67 on target, with 18 goals this season. Home side’s shot conversion is 19% versus the visitors’ 12%, and average xG is 1.88 for Breiðablik and 1.53 for Keflavík, confirming the hosts’ superiority in chance quality. Defensively Breiðablik concede 1.83 goals on average at home, while Keflavík concede 2.5 goals away; additionally the hosts have 33% clean sheets at home, whereas the visitors have recorded no away clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 13 goals, won 3 of 5 and average 2.0 points per game, while the visitors scored 7 goals, won 1 of 5 and average 1.0 point per game. Considering higher shots on target (6 vs 4.67), better conversion and higher average xG, I forecast a home win; estimated probabilities: Breiðablik 65%, draw 20%, Keflavík 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes stems from Keflavík’s season BTTS rate of 100% with 0% clean sheets and an average conceded goals of 2.5 per match. Breidablik also frequently allows goals: season BTTS 71% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 scored and 2.0 conceded in their last 5 fixtures. xG indicates an offensive profile for both teams: xG for home 1.67 versus 1.53 for away, and xG against 1.5 (home) and 1.8 (away), meaning both sides create and concede scoring opportunities. Shots on target stats 4.29 (Breidablik) and 4.67 (Keflavík) and the league BTTS rate of 74% with an average 4.0 goals per match further increase the likelihood of goals from both teams. Considering Keflavík’s 100% season BTTS, Breidablik’s 80% BTTS in recent matches and the high average concessions of 2.5 and 2.0, I assess BTTS probability at 90% vs 10% No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.74 expected goals for Breidablik and 1.52 for Keflavík (total 3.26), calculated from average xG: hosts generate 1.67 xG while opponents concede 1.80 xG; visitors generate 1.53 xG against 1.50 xG conceded by the hosts. This season Breidablik has Over 1.5 in 71% of home matches, and Keflavík has Over 1.5 in 100% of away matches; additionally, in the last 5 games the hosts scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and Keflavík conceded 12 goals (2.4 avg). A Poisson model with λ=3.26 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈84%, Over 2.5 ≈63% and Over 3.5 ≈41%, which aligns with seasonal rates (over2.5: 43% for hosts vs 83% for guests). Both teams show high BTTS rates: 71% for hosts and 100% for guests, and with 16.43 shots for the hosts and 13.83 for the guests plus conversion rates of 7% vs 12%, the visitors’ greater efficiency increases the likelihood of multiple goals. Based on this, the strongest signal is betting Over 1.5, as the combination of xG=3.26, high BTTS and seasonal 71%/100% over1.5 provides the best statistical support.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor a draw: Breidablik were level at the break in 57% of their matches, while Keflavík were trailing at half-time in 67% of games and were leading only in 17%. In the second half, however, the advantage lies with Breidablik — in their last five home matches the hosts won 60% (3 of 5) and averaged 2.6 goals across those five, whereas Keflavík have a 20% win rate and average 1.4 goals. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.67 versus 1.53 for the visitors, and over the season Breidablik concede on average 1.29 goals compared to Keflavík’s 2.5 conceded, indicating the hosts are more defensively efficient and generate higher-quality chances. Based on this, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Breidablik turnaround to win (X/1) — I assign this outcome 26%, while 1/1 receives 20% due to a 29% probability that Breidablik will take the lead before the break and hold it through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Breidablik | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Breidablik is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Breidablik · 1 pts / game - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 78% better for: goals scored per game.
2.46 goals / game - Breidablik · 1.38 goals / game - Keflavík
Breidablik scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
Keflavík scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Breidablik
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Breidablik · 1.08 pts / game - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Breidablik
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Breidablik | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.38 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 14% | • 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Breidablik's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Keflavík. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 2:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Keflavík?
Breidablik score 2.46 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.38. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Breidablik's matches and 85% of Keflavík's.
What form are Breidablik and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Keflavík 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The statistical background for Breidablik vs Keflavík — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.