Brentford vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
Brentford vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Brentford played against Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Gtech Community Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Brentford has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Crystal Palace has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Brentford scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.36. Crystal Palace scores 1.06 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Brentford's games and 50% of Crystal Palace's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Crystal Palace has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.28 per game. Brentford takes 10.6 shots per game, while Crystal Palace takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Brentford leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Crystal Palace leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Brentford's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Crystal Palace, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the hosts — Brentford — primarily due to home statistical advantage: Brentford at home average 1.72 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per match, whereas Crystal Palace away record is 1.11 scored and 1.44 conceded per match. The hosts generate more chances (11.89 shots and 4.17 on target at home versus 9.56 and 3.44 for Palace away) and have higher shot efficiency (14% vs 12%). In terms of chance quality Brentford post 1.39 xG at home compared to Palace’s 1.13 xG away, with xG against of 1.41 vs 1.51, suggesting the hosts create slightly better and more efficient opportunities. In the last 5 matches Brentford scored 6 and conceded 7 (averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded), while Palace scored 7 and conceded 10, and Brentford hold a positive home goal difference (+12) versus Palace’s −6 away. Given these figures, I assign Brentford a 52% chance to win, 26% for a draw and 22% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 50% (Brentford 50%, Crystal Palace 50%), while the league average for BTTS is 55%, indicating both-teams-scoring occurs slightly more than half the time. In the last 5 matches Brentford had BTTS 40%, scored 6 and conceded 7 goals (avg 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded), whereas Palace had BTTS 60%, scored 7 and conceded 10 (1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded), so both sides have been regularly conceding recently. Brentford at home generate xG 1.50 and average 13.67 shots with 4.0 on target, while Palace away have xG_for 1.13 with 9.56 shots; at the same time Palace concede xG 1.51 away, which nearly matches Brentford’s xG 1.50 and raises the likelihood of a Brentford goal. Palace have a higher shot conversion rate of 12% versus Brentford’s 7%, and Brentford keep a clean sheet in 39% of home matches versus 28% for Palace away, which together indicate a greater risk of Palace conceding and realistic chances for both teams to score. Summing these signals I assess BTTS at 62% for 'Yes' and 38% for 'No', therefore I tip 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model forecasts a total of approximately 2.71 goals: Brentford ~1.51 (home xG 1.50 and xG conceded by away opponents 1.51) and Crystal Palace ~1.20 (away xG 1.13 and Brentford xG against 1.26). With a total λ=2.71 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 75%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ~51%, and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) ~29%. Seasonal rates support these values: Brentford have 61% of matches Over 1.5, Crystal Palace 78%; for the 2.5 line they are 44% and 61% respectively, and for 3.5 only 22% and 17%. In the last 5 matches Brentford recorded Over 2.5 in 80% of games and Palace in 100%, which further increases the chance of 3+ goals, however the strongest signal remains Over 1.5 (75%). Considering the expected 1.51 and 1.20 goals for the teams and the percentages above, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the most probable and strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics favor the visitors: Crystal Palace win 39% of away matches, while Brentford win only 22% at home, giving a clear advantage to the visitors in Full-Time outcomes. At Half-Time visitors lead in 33% of matches versus 28% for hosts, and the average goals by half are 0.44 for Brentford and 0.61 for Palace, so a HT lead for the visitors is common. Brentford generate more xG (1.50 vs 1.13) and more shots (13.67 vs 9.56), but have lower finishing efficiency (7% vs 12%), so their creative superiority does not necessarily translate into goals against an efficient opponent. Although a Half-Time draw occurs frequently (39%), the visitors’ higher shooting efficiency and 39% away-win rate make the strongest scenario a visitor lead at the break and a visitor win at full-time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Brentford | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Brentford is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Brentford · 0.4 pts / game - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Brentford · 1.06 goals / game - Crystal Palace
Brentford scores in 67% of games (24 of 36 meczów), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 meczów).
Crystal Palace scores in 67% of games (24 of 36 meczów), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brentford
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Brentford · 1.31 pts / game - Crystal Palace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Brentford
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brentford | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.81 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Brentford's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Crystal Palace. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Brentford 2:2 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford score 1.44 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.06. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brentford's matches and 50% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Brentford and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Brentford have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Crystal Palace 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.