France - Ligue 1Stade Francis-Le BleData current as of October 21, 2026

Brest vs Nice: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Brest vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Brest plays Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Stade Francis-Le Ble.

Recent form

Brest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nice has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Brest scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 1.43. Nice scores 0.86 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 86% of Brest's games and 57% of Nice's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 57%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Brest has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.38 per game. Brest takes 17.6 shots per game, while Nice takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Brest leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Nice leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Brest's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Nice, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 1 games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.19)
(3.74)
(3.43)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.86Goals scored / game0.86
BrestNice
1.43Goals allowed / game1.29
BrestNice
46%Average possession55%
BrestNice
5.71Shots on target / game3.71
BrestNice

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.57Shots per game11.86
BrestNice
5.71Shots on target3.71
BrestNice
10.6%Shot conversion7.2%
BrestNice
46%Possession55%
BrestNice
1.77xG for1.38
BrestNice
1.39xG against1.37
BrestNice

Shooting quality

Brest: AttackingNice: Balanced
BrestNice
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Brest
WLLWD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
DLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Nice
DLWWL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brest is 116% better for: goals scored per game.

1.86 goals / game - Brest · 0.86 goals / game - Nice

Nice is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.43 goals / game - Brest · 1.29 goals / game - Nice

Brest scoring profile: very strong

Brest scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Nice scoring profile: very strong

Nice scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

13Goals scored (season)6
BrestNice
10Goals conceded (season)9
BrestNice
3.29Average goals per game2.14
BrestNice
9Goals scored (last 5)6
BrestNice
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
BrestNice

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal57%
BrestNice
57%2 goals29%
BrestNice
14%3 goals0%
BrestNice
14%4 goals0%
BrestNice

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
BrestNice
43%2 goals29%
BrestNice
0%3 goals14%
BrestNice
0%4 goals0%
BrestNice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time43%
BrestNice
29%BTTS in both halves0%
BrestNice
57%Scored in both halves29%
BrestNice

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BrestNice
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
BrestNice
80%BTTS - last 580%
BrestNice

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BrestNice
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
BrestNice
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BrestNice

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
BrestNice
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BrestNice
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BrestNice

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brest is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Brest · 1 pts / game - Nice

Brest - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing
Nice - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
BrestNice
1.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BrestNice
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
BrestNice
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.29
BrestNice
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
BrestNice
14%No goal before half-time43%
BrestNice

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per game (2nd half)1
BrestNice
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
BrestNice
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
BrestNice
1.57Average goals (2nd half)0.86
BrestNice
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BrestNice
43%No goal after half-time71%
BrestNice

Brest - second-half results

0% W71% D29% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding51%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nice - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Brest - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.400.60
Goals scored / game1.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Nice - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Brest
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nice
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.72
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Brest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Nice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

BrestLigaNice
Average goals per game▲ 3.293.05▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▲ 86%63%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%63%▼ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%71%• 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%83%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.05
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Brest's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nice. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

OGC Nice Côte d'Azur
2 : 2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 1
OGC Nice Côte d'Azur

FAQ

When do Brest and Nice play?

Brest face Nice on October 23, 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Brest and Nice?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Brest won 1, Nice won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Nice?

Brest score 1.86 goals per game on average and Nice 0.86. The Ligue 1 average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Brest's matches and 57% of Nice's.

What form are Brest and Nice in?

Over the last 5 games Brest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nice 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Nice?

The statistical background for Brest vs Nice — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.