Brest vs Olympique Marseille: match statistics
Olympique Marseille appears to be the favorite in this match despite the recent poor form of both teams. The visitors have a significant advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%). Marseille boasts better xG statistics (1.59 vs 1.53 for Brest), suggesting they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Brest has a solid home record (45% win rate in home matches), but Marseille also wins 45% of their away matches, which, combined with their superior offensive quality (48 goals this season vs 29), gives them an edge. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent (averaging 1 point per game in their last 5 matches), which opens up the possibility of a draw. Taking all factors into account, I predict an away win, although the match could be closely contested, as evidenced by the identical goal difference (+3) of both teams in their respective matches.
Brest vs Olympique Marseille: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Brest played against Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Brest has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Olympique Marseille has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Brest scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.55. Olympique Marseille scores 2.18 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Brest's games and 50% of Olympique Marseille's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 68%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Olympique Marseille has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.31 per game. Brest takes 11.8 shots per game, while Olympique Marseille takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Brest leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Olympique Marseille leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Brest's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Olympique Marseille, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille appears to be the favorite in this match despite the recent poor form of both teams. The visitors have a significant advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%). Marseille boasts better xG statistics (1.59 vs 1.53 for Brest), suggesting they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Brest has a solid home record (45% win rate in home matches), but Marseille also wins 45% of their away matches, which, combined with their superior offensive quality (48 goals this season vs 29), gives them an edge. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent (averaging 1 point per game in their last 5 matches), which opens up the possibility of a draw. Taking all factors into account, I predict an away win, although the match could be closely contested, as evidenced by the identical goal difference (+3) of both teams in their respective matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Brest | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Olympique Marseille is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Brest · 1.6 pts / game - Olympique Marseille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Brest · 2.18 goals / game - Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.55 goals / game - Brest · 1.32 goals / game - Olympique Marseille
Brest scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
Olympique Marseille scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brest
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Brest · 1.68 pts / game - Olympique Marseille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Brest
Olympique Marseille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Brest | Liga | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.86 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Brest's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Olympique Marseille. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Brest vs Olympique Marseille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Brest 2:0 Olympique Marseille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Olympique Marseille?
Brest score 1.32 goals per game on average and Olympique Marseille 2.18. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brest's matches and 50% of Olympique Marseille's.
What form are Brest and Olympique Marseille in?
Over the last 5 games Brest have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Olympique Marseille 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Olympique Marseille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.