Brest vs Toulouse: match statistics
Brest presents solid home form with 44% of matches won and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. The hosts are effective offensively, scoring an average of 1.56 goals per match in home games, which is supported by their advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.19). Toulouse generally has better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away - merely 38% wins and a higher average xG Against (1.41) suggests defensive issues. Brest also maintains a better average ball possession (45% vs 40%) and more shots on target (4.78 vs 3.0), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Considering the home pitch asset and Toulouse's weaker disposition on the road, the hosts have a real chance for victory, though the tight nature of the encounter does not rule out a draw.
Brest vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Brest played against Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Brest has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Toulouse has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Brest scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.61. Toulouse scores 1.61 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.86 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Brest's games and 44% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 56%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.32 per game. Brest takes 11.7 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Brest leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 28% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Brest's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.86 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brest presents solid home form with 44% of matches won and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. The hosts are effective offensively, scoring an average of 1.56 goals per match in home games, which is supported by their advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.19). Toulouse generally has better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away - merely 38% wins and a higher average xG Against (1.41) suggests defensive issues. Brest also maintains a better average ball possession (45% vs 40%) and more shots on target (4.78 vs 3.0), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Considering the home pitch asset and Toulouse's weaker disposition on the road, the hosts have a real chance for victory, though the tight nature of the encounter does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Brest | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toulouse is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Brest · 2 pts / game - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Brest · 1.61 goals / game - Toulouse
Toulouse is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.61 goals / game - Brest · 1.28 goals / game - Toulouse
Brest scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
Toulouse scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brest
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brest is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Brest · 1.17 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Brest
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Brest | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.94 | 2.86 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Brest's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toulouse. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Brest vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Brest 0:2 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest score 1.33 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.61. The Ligue 1 average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brest's matches and 44% of Toulouse's.
What form are Brest and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Brest have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toulouse 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Toulouse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Brest vs Toulouse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.