Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion hold a clear advantage as the home side, boasting a 38% win rate in home matches with just a 15% loss rate. Their offensive efficiency at home (averaging 1.54 goals per game) and their xG advantage (1.6 vs 1.26) indicate solid goal-scoring form. Nottingham Forest records poor away results with a 54% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, scoring on average just 0.92 goals per away game. The goal difference is significant: Brighton are +6 at home, while Forest are -8 away. Possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher number of shots on target (4.62 vs 3.92) further support the hosts. The poor form of both teams in their last five matches (0.8 points per game each) could lead to a more cautious approach, hence a significant probability of a draw, but Brighton should be able to capitalize on their home advantage.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Brighton & Hove Albion played against Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Nottingham Forest has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.26. Nottingham Forest scores 0.93 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Brighton & Hove Albion's games and 37% of Nottingham Forest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nottingham Forest has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.49 per game. Brighton & Hove Albion takes 12.8 shots per game, while Nottingham Forest takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Brighton & Hove Albion leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Brighton & Hove Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Nottingham Forest, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion hold a clear advantage as the home side, boasting a 38% win rate in home matches with just a 15% loss rate. Their offensive efficiency at home (averaging 1.54 goals per game) and their xG advantage (1.6 vs 1.26) indicate solid goal-scoring form. Nottingham Forest records poor away results with a 54% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, scoring on average just 0.92 goals per away game. The goal difference is significant: Brighton are +6 at home, while Forest are -8 away. Possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher number of shots on target (4.62 vs 3.92) further support the hosts. The poor form of both teams in their last five matches (0.8 points per game each) could lead to a more cautious approach, hence a significant probability of a draw, but Brighton should be able to capitalize on their home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nottingham Forest is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.93 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.44 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
Nottingham Forest scores in 52% of games (14 of 27 meczów), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brighton & Hove Albion
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.85 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.59 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Brighton & Hove Albion's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nottingham Forest. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest?
Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.33 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.93. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Brighton & Hove Albion's matches and 37% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Brighton & Hove Albion and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Brighton & Hove Albion have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.