Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners: match statistics
Brisbane Roar is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a points per game (PPG) record of 0.6, indicating significant offensive issues (43% FTS%). Central Coast Mariners show better recent form (1.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and a higher away scoring efficiency (1.43 goals/match vs 1.0 for the hosts). However, Brisbane holds a home advantage with a 43% win rate at home and a superior expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1 for the visitors). Both teams have defensive problems, suggesting goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' poor form but their home advantage, along with the guests' improving form despite their high away loss rate (57%), the most likely outcome appears to be a draw in a closely contested match.
Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Brisbane Roar played against Central Coast Mariners in A-League (Australia). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Brisbane Roar has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Central Coast Mariners has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.25. Central Coast Mariners scores 1.27 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Brisbane Roar's games and 60% of Central Coast Mariners's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 60%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Brisbane Roar has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.03 per game. Brisbane Roar takes 13.5 shots per game, while Central Coast Mariners takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Brisbane Roar leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Central Coast Mariners leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Brisbane Roar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Central Coast Mariners, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
A-League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brisbane Roar is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a points per game (PPG) record of 0.6, indicating significant offensive issues (43% FTS%). Central Coast Mariners show better recent form (1.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and a higher away scoring efficiency (1.43 goals/match vs 1.0 for the hosts). However, Brisbane holds a home advantage with a 43% win rate at home and a superior expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1 for the visitors). Both teams have defensive problems, suggesting goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' poor form but their home advantage, along with the guests' improving form despite their high away loss rate (57%), the most likely outcome appears to be a draw in a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Brisbane Roar | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Central Coast Mariners is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Brisbane Roar · 1.6 pts / game - Central Coast Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Brisbane Roar · 1.27 goals / game - Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Brisbane Roar · 1.53 goals / game - Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
Central Coast Mariners scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Brisbane Roar · 1.2 pts / game - Central Coast Mariners
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Brisbane Roar | Liga | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.78 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Brisbane Roar's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Central Coast Mariners. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:2 Central Coast Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
Brisbane Roar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Central Coast Mariners 1.27. The A-League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 60% of Central Coast Mariners's.
What form are Brisbane Roar and Central Coast Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Central Coast Mariners 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.