Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Brisbane Roar played against Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The game was played on November 28, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Brisbane Roar has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Melbourne Victory FC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Brisbane Roar scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.60. Melbourne Victory FC scores 0.80 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Brisbane Roar's games and 20% of Melbourne Victory FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 40%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Melbourne Victory FC has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.13 per game. Brisbane Roar takes 10.6 shots per game, while Melbourne Victory FC takes 15.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Brisbane Roar leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Melbourne Victory FC leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Brisbane Roar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Melbourne Victory FC, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

A-League games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
11Shots11
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2Shots on target6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.16xG1.49
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
8Corners3
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
45Dangerous attacks51
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Fouls13
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Cards4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.2Goals scored / game0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.6Goals allowed / game2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
44%Average possession49%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2.6Shots on target / game4.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.6Shots per game15.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2.6Shots on target4.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
11.3%Shot conversion5.1%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
44%Possession49%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.13xG for1.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.19xG against1.56
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Shooting quality

Brisbane Roar: BalancedMelbourne Victory FC: Attacking
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Accuracy (shots on target)25%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Brisbane Roar is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Brisbane Roar · 0.8 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar
WLDWD
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Melbourne Victory FC
DLWLL
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brisbane Roar is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.2 goals / game - Brisbane Roar · 0.8 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - Brisbane Roar · 2 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar scoring profile: strong

Brisbane Roar scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).

Melbourne Victory FC scoring profile: more difficult

Melbourne Victory FC scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Goals conceded (season)10
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.8Average goals per game2.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Goals scored (last 5)4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%2 goals40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%3 goals0%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%4 goals0%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%2 goals60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%3 goals40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%4 goals20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

20%
Melbourne Victory FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 5 meczów
53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Scored in both halves40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
40%BTTS - last 520%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brisbane Roar is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / game - Brisbane Roar · 1 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
Melbourne Victory FC - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per game (1st half)1
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1Average goals (1st half)1.2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%No goal before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.8Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%No goal after half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 40%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Brisbane Roar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Melbourne Victory FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Brisbane Roar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
4
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Melbourne Victory FC
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Brisbane Roar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Melbourne Victory FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).

Teams vs league

Brisbane RoarLigaMelbourne Victory FC
Average goals per game 1.802.70 2.80
Both teams scored 40%53% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%50% 40%
Clean sheets 60%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%70% 60%
Goal after half-time 40%73% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Brisbane RoarGoalSamuel KleinAssist: Justin Vidic
  2. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardSebastian Esposito
  3. Brisbane RoarYellow cardJustin Vidic
  4. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardRoderick Jefferson Gonçalves Miranda
  5. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Clarismario Santos RodriguesOff: Matthew Grimaldi
  6. Brisbane RoarYellow cardMichael Klaude Ruhs
  7. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Nikolaos VergosOff: Jing Reec
  8. Brisbane RoarSubstitutionOn: Chris LongOff: Michael Klaude Ruhs
  9. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Joshua RawlinsOff: Joshua Inserra
  10. Brisbane RoarSubstitutionOn: Henry HoreOff: Justin Vidic
  11. Melbourne Victory FCRed cardDenis Genreau
  12. Brisbane RoarYellow cardDean Anthony Bouzanis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Shaun EvansMatches officiated: 14
4.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins28%Draws14%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:0 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

Brisbane Roar score 1.20 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 0.80. The A-League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 20% of Melbourne Victory FC's.

What form are Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory FC in?

Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The statistical background for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.