Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brisbane Roar play Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The match date is 28 November 2025 at 09:35. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Brisbane Roar: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Melbourne Victory FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brisbane Roar scores 1.04 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.63 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brisbane Roar 58%, Melbourne Victory FC 52%. Over 2.5: Brisbane Roar 54%, Melbourne Victory FC 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.45. Brisbane Roar: 13.5 shots per match, Melbourne Victory FC: 17.2.

Match halves

Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50. Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (7 goals). Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A-League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
11Shots11
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2Shots on target6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.16xG1.49
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
8Corners3
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
45Dangerous attacks51
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Fouls13
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Cards4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.04Goals scored / match1.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.38Goals conceded / match1.26
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
47%Average possession50%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
4.15Shots on target / match5.7
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.5Shots per match17.19
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
4.15Shots on target5.7
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
7.7%Shot conversion9.5%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
47%Possession50%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.45xG for1.88
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.27xG against1.26
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Shooting quality

Brisbane Roar: BalancedMelbourne Victory FC: Attacking
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Melbourne Victory FC is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-6
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Melbourne Victory FC
LDDWL
Season result split
41% W26% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-9
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Melbourne Victory FC is 57% better for: goals scored per match.

1.04 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.63 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Melbourne Victory FC is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.26 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar scoring profile: very strong

Brisbane Roar scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).

Melbourne Victory FC scoring profile: strong

Melbourne Victory FC scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).

27Goals scored (season)44
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
36Goals conceded (season)34
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2.42Average goals in match2.89
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal67%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
27%2 goals52%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
4%3 goals26%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%4 goals15%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal78%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
46%2 goals33%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
15%3 goals7%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
4%4 goals4%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
Melbourne Victory FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 27 matches
60%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time33%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%BTTS in both halves15%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
27%Scored in both halves37%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%BTTS - last 540%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melbourne Victory FC is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.33 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - half-time state
27% leading46% draw27% trailing
Melbourne Victory FC - half-time state
30% leading44% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.33
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.26
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
50%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
46%No goal before half-time52%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
54%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
54%No goal after half-time44%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - second-half results

23% W35% R42% P
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
36
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brisbane Roar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Melbourne Victory FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brisbane Roar
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
7
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Melbourne Victory FC
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
10
2
46-60
8
3
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brisbane Roar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Melbourne Victory FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).

Teams vs league

Brisbane RoarLigaMelbourne Victory FC
Average goals in match 2.422.82 2.89
Both teams scored 58%60% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%56% 52%
Clean sheets 27%23% 22%
Goal before half-time 77%72% 70%
Goal after half-time 69%82% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:0 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

Brisbane Roar score 1.04 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.63. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 52% of Melbourne Victory FC's.

What form are Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory FC in?

Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The statistical background for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.