Bristol City vs Stoke City: match statistics
Bristol City vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol City play Stoke City in Championship (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bristol City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Stoke City: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Stoke City scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol City 46%, Stoke City 43%. Over 2.5: Bristol City 46%, Stoke City 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bristol City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.28. Bristol City: 12.2 shots per match, Stoke City: 11.2.
Match halves
Bristol City: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.59. Stoke City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Bristol City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Stoke City: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Bristol City holds a clear offensive edge — at home they average 1.41 goals per game and produce 12.73 shots with 3.95 on target, while Stoke away average only 0.77 goals with 9.5 shots and 2.82 on target. The difference in finishing is significant: conversion rate is around 11% for Bristol versus 8% for Stoke, and the visitors fail to score in 50% of away matches versus 32% for hosts. Additionally, in the last five matches Bristol scored 6 goals and averages 1.0 point, whereas Stoke scored only 3 goals, averages 0.2 points and has not won any of their last five fixtures. Stoke’s away defense is slightly better statistically (1.18 conceded per game vs 1.41 for Bristol), and xG figures are similar (xG for: 1.4 Bristol vs 1.08 Stoke; xG against: 1.51 vs 1.55), which suggests Bristol’s advantage will be in chance creation and finishing. In light of these numbers I assign a 62% probability to a Bristol win, 22% to a draw and 16% to a Stoke win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol City is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Bristol City · 0.2 pts / match - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.11 goals / match - Stoke City
Stoke City is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.22 goals / match - Stoke City
Bristol City scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Stoke City scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 30% (14 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bristol City
Over / Under — Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol City is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Bristol City · 1.33 pts / match - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol City
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Bristol City | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol City 0 - 0 - 1 Stoke City. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Bristol City 2:0 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Stoke City?
Bristol City score 1.28 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.11. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Bristol City's matches and 43% of Stoke City's.
What form are Bristol City and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stoke City 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The statistical background for Bristol City vs Stoke City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.